Points
48Points expected by the market
44.26Gap
+3.74Yield
+26.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | −0.13 | −31.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 25 | +0.72 | −7.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 14 | +3.15 | +85.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | −0.13 | −31.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.41 | −17.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +3.02 | +60.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.30 | +2.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | +0.13 | +98.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Chelsea · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.46 | −0.46 |
| M2 | Brentford · Home21 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.85 |
| M3 | West Ham · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.31 | −0.54 |
| M4 | Tottenham · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +1.44 |
| M5 | Liverpool · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.41 | +1.02 |
| M6 | Brighton · Home27 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.72 |
| M7 | Leicester · Home3 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.40 |
| M8 | Arsenal · Away18 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.67 |
| M9 | Newcastle · Home23 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −0.11 |
| M10 | Manchester City · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.74 | +2.63 |
| M11 | Wolverhampton · Home6 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.09 |
| M12 | Burnley · Away20 Nov 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.38 | +3.71 |
| M13 | Aston Villa · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +2.17 |
| M14 | Leeds · Away30 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +1.03 |
| M15 | Manchester United · Away5 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | +0.36 |
| M16 | Everton · Home12 Dec 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.78 |
| M17 | Southampton · Home15 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +1.11 |
| M18 | Tottenham · Away26 Dec 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +0.29 |
| M19 | Norwich · Home28 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.36 |
| M20 | West Ham · Home1 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.24 |
| M21 | Brighton · Away14 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.22 |
| M22 | Liverpool · Home23 Jan 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.49 |
| M23 | Norwich · Away9 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −1.09 |
| M24 | Brentford · Away12 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.47 |
| M25 | Chelsea · Home19 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.25 |
| M26 | Watford · Away23 Feb 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −0.65 |
| M27 | Burnley · Home26 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −1.46 |
| M28 | Wolverhampton · Away5 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +0.39 |
| M29 | Manchester City · Home14 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.53 | +0.92 |
| M30 | Arsenal · Home4 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +2.92 |
| M31 | Leicester · Away10 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +1.66 |
| M32 | Newcastle · Away20 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +0.52 |
| M33 | Leeds · Home25 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.04 |
| M34 | Southampton · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.82 |
| M35 | Watford · Home7 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.86 |
| M36 | Aston Villa · Away15 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | +2.94 |
| M37 | Everton · Away19 May 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.90 | +2.04 |
| M38 | Manchester United · Home22 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +3.74 |
| Total | 48 | +3.74 | |||