Points
39Points expected by the market
44.87Gap
−5.87Yield
−18.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | −0.03 | +5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | −1.70 | +4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 9 | −4.15 | −46.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +0.95 | +22.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −1.10 | −6.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +3.30 | +128.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.98 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.59 | +22.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 3 | −7.45 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Southampton · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M2 | Leeds · Away21 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | +1.21 |
| M3 | Brighton · Away28 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +3.05 |
| M4 | Burnley · Home13 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.15 |
| M5 | Aston Villa · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +3.05 |
| M6 | Norwich · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.08 |
| M7 | Manchester United · Away2 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.33 | +4.41 |
| M8 | West Ham · Home17 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +3.10 |
| M9 | Watford · Home23 Oct 2021 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.87 | +1.23 |
| M10 | Wolverhampton · Away1 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.11 |
| M11 | Tottenham · Home7 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.03 |
| M12 | Manchester City · Away21 Nov 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.33 | −0.36 |
| M13 | Brentford · Away28 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.48 |
| M14 | Liverpool · Home1 Dec 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −2.00 |
| M15 | Arsenal · Home6 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | −0.12 |
| M16 | Crystal Palace · Away12 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.23 |
| M17 | Chelsea · Away16 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.68 | −0.55 |
| M18 | Brighton · Home2 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −1.86 |
| M19 | Norwich · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −3.44 |
| M20 | Aston Villa · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −4.77 |
| M21 | Newcastle · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −6.05 |
| M22 | Leeds · Home12 Feb 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −4.47 |
| M23 | Southampton · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.54 |
| M24 | Manchester City · Home26 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.38 | −5.92 |
| M25 | Tottenham · Away7 Mar 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.83 | −6.75 |
| M26 | Wolverhampton · Home13 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −8.32 |
| M27 | Newcastle · Home17 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −6.82 |
| M28 | West Ham · Away3 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −7.69 |
| M29 | Burnley · Away6 Apr 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −8.94 |
| M30 | Manchester United · Home9 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −6.91 |
| M31 | Leicester · Home20 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −7.32 |
| M32 | Liverpool · Away24 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.32 | −7.64 |
| M33 | Chelsea · Home1 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.18 | −5.46 |
| M34 | Leicester · Away8 May 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −3.79 |
| M35 | Watford · Away11 May 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | −4.77 |
| M36 | Brentford · Home15 May 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.78 | −6.55 |
| M37 | Crystal Palace · Home19 May 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.17 | −5.38 |
| M38 | Arsenal · Away22 May 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.50 | −5.87 |
| Total | 39 | −5.87 | |||