Points
38Points expected by the market
44.67Gap
−6.67Yield
−38.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.51 | +6.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −1.32 | −25.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 5 | −6.85 | −69.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.18 | −9.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.73 | −67.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 0 | −4.70 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.32 | +103.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.41 | +11.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 5 | −2.15 | −51.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Manchester United · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.78 |
| M2 | Everton · Home21 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −1.41 |
| M3 | Burnley · Away29 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −1.99 |
| M4 | Liverpool · Home12 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −2.81 |
| M5 | Newcastle · Away17 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −3.35 |
| M6 | West Ham · Home25 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −4.59 |
| M7 | Watford · Home2 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −3.47 |
| M8 | Southampton · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −4.61 |
| M9 | Wolverhampton · Home23 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −5.07 |
| M10 | Norwich · Away31 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −3.74 |
| M11 | Leicester · Home7 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −4.11 |
| M12 | Tottenham · Away21 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −4.85 |
| M13 | Brighton · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −4.96 |
| M14 | Crystal Palace · Home30 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −3.52 |
| M15 | Brentford · Home5 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | −4.37 |
| M16 | Chelsea · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −4.74 |
| M17 | Manchester City · Away14 Dec 2021 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.27 | −5.01 |
| M18 | Arsenal · Home18 Dec 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.72 | −5.73 |
| M19 | Burnley · Home2 Jan 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −4.41 |
| M20 | West Ham · Away16 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.18 | −2.23 |
| M21 | Newcastle · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −4.00 |
| M22 | Aston Villa · Away9 Feb 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | 0.00 | −4.00 |
| M23 | Everton · Away12 Feb 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −5.31 |
| M24 | Manchester United · Home20 Feb 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −6.14 |
| M25 | Liverpool · Away23 Feb 2022 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.31 | −6.45 |
| M26 | Tottenham · Home26 Feb 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −7.48 |
| M27 | Leicester · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −8.55 |
| M28 | Aston Villa · Home10 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −9.84 |
| M29 | Norwich · Home13 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | −8.85 |
| M30 | Wolverhampton · Away18 Mar 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.87 | −6.97 |
| M31 | Southampton · Home2 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −7.42 |
| M32 | Watford · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −5.82 |
| M33 | Crystal Palace · Away25 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −6.07 |
| M34 | Manchester City · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.47 | −6.54 |
| M35 | Arsenal · Away8 May 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.68 | −7.22 |
| M36 | Chelsea · Home11 May 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −8.05 |
| M37 | Brighton · Home15 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −8.41 |
| M38 | Brentford · Away22 May 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −6.67 |
| Total | 38 | −6.67 | |||