Points
52Points expected by the market
48.38Gap
+3.62Yield
−5.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.66 | +34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 25 | +8.34 | +63.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 16 | −5.11 | −52.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −0.28 | +2.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.66 | +34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 19 | +6.07 | +58.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −3.34 | −64.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.87 | +208.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.27 | +80.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −1.77 | −42.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −3.14 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wolverhampton · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.09 |
| M2 | West Ham · Away23 Aug 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.19 |
| M3 | Norwich · Away28 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.03 |
| M4 | Manchester City · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | +0.27 |
| M5 | Brighton · Away19 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −0.98 |
| M6 | Burnley · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | −1.94 |
| M7 | Crystal Palace · Away3 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | −2.33 |
| M8 | Manchester United · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.96 | −0.37 |
| M9 | Brentford · Away24 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.23 |
| M10 | Arsenal · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.20 |
| M11 | Leeds · Away7 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.55 |
| M12 | Chelsea · Home20 Nov 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −1.40 |
| M13 | Watford · Home28 Nov 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.06 | −0.34 |
| M14 | Southampton · Away1 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.56 |
| M15 | Aston Villa · Away5 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.72 |
| M16 | Newcastle · Home12 Dec 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −0.62 |
| M17 | Manchester City · Away26 Dec 2021 | L 3-6 | 0 | −0.25 | −0.87 |
| M18 | Liverpool · Home28 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.51 | +1.64 |
| M19 | Tottenham · Home19 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.47 |
| M20 | Brighton · Home23 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.08 |
| M21 | Liverpool · Away10 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.35 | −0.28 |
| M22 | West Ham · Home13 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.56 |
| M23 | Wolverhampton · Away20 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.65 |
| M24 | Burnley · Away1 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −0.07 |
| M25 | Leeds · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.25 |
| M26 | Arsenal · Away13 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.58 | +0.67 |
| M27 | Brentford · Home20 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.04 |
| M28 | Manchester United · Away2 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | +2.31 |
| M29 | Crystal Palace · Home10 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +3.87 |
| M30 | Newcastle · Away17 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +2.83 |
| M31 | Everton · Away20 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +2.53 |
| M32 | Aston Villa · Home23 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | +2.27 |
| M33 | Tottenham · Away1 May 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | +1.76 |
| M34 | Everton · Home8 May 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +0.39 |
| M35 | Norwich · Home11 May 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +1.05 |
| M36 | Watford · Away15 May 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +2.11 |
| M37 | Chelsea · Away19 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | +2.53 |
| M38 | Southampton · Home22 May 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +3.62 |
| Total | 52 | +3.62 | |||