Points
92Points expected by the market
82.75Gap
+9.25Yield
+2.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 25 | 66 | +5.66 | +7.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +3.16 | +23.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.46 | −41.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 44 | +4.11 | +6.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.90 | +52.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.71 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 22 | +1.55 | +8.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +2.26 | +19.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.17 | +17.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.03 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Norwich · Away14 Aug 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +0.82 |
| M2 | Burnley · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.53 | +1.35 |
| M3 | Chelsea · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.87 |
| M4 | Leeds · Away12 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.91 |
| M5 | Crystal Palace · Home18 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +2.48 |
| M6 | Brentford · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.23 | +1.26 |
| M7 | Manchester City · Home3 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.03 |
| M8 | Watford · Away16 Oct 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +1.72 |
| M9 | Manchester United · Away24 Oct 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +3.22 |
| M10 | Brighton · Home30 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.41 | +1.81 |
| M11 | West Ham · Away7 Nov 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.90 | −0.08 |
| M12 | Arsenal · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +0.82 |
| M13 | Southampton · Home27 Nov 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +1.36 |
| M14 | Everton · Away1 Dec 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +2.08 |
| M15 | Wolverhampton · Away4 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +2.80 |
| M16 | Aston Villa · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.53 | +3.33 |
| M17 | Newcastle · Home16 Dec 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.30 | +3.63 |
| M18 | Tottenham · Away19 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | +2.69 |
| M19 | Leicester · Away28 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.35 | +0.33 |
| M20 | Chelsea · Away2 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.01 |
| M21 | Brentford · Home16 Jan 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.58 | +0.57 |
| M22 | Crystal Palace · Away23 Jan 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +1.52 |
| M23 | Leicester · Home10 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +2.00 |
| M24 | Burnley · Away13 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +2.51 |
| M25 | Norwich · Home19 Feb 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.33 | +2.84 |
| M26 | Leeds · Home23 Feb 2022 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +3.27 |
| M27 | West Ham · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +3.82 |
| M28 | Brighton · Away12 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +4.66 |
| M29 | Arsenal · Away16 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +5.99 |
| M30 | Watford · Home2 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.39 | +6.39 |
| M31 | Manchester City · Away10 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | +6.36 |
| M32 | Manchester United · Home19 Apr 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +7.04 |
| M33 | Everton · Home24 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.45 | +7.49 |
| M34 | Newcastle · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +8.39 |
| M35 | Tottenham · Home7 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | +7.18 |
| M36 | Aston Villa · Away10 May 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +8.06 |
| M37 | Southampton · Away17 May 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +8.89 |
| M38 | Wolverhampton · Home22 May 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.36 | +9.25 |
| Total | 92 | +9.25 | |||