Points
93Points expected by the market
89.62Gap
+3.38Yield
+1.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 30 | 76 | +0.93 | −2.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +1.34 | +10.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.10 | +32.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 43 | −0.46 | −1.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.29 | −18.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 33 | +1.39 | −3.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.05 | +24.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.10 | +32.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Tottenham · Away15 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.04 | −2.04 |
| M2 | Norwich · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.32 | −1.72 |
| M3 | Arsenal · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.66 | −1.06 |
| M4 | Leicester · Away11 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −0.07 |
| M5 | Southampton · Home18 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.59 | −1.66 |
| M6 | Chelsea · Away25 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −0.05 |
| M7 | Liverpool · Away3 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.55 |
| M8 | Burnley · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.37 | −0.19 |
| M9 | Brighton · Away23 Oct 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.57 |
| M10 | Crystal Palace · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.63 | −2.07 |
| M11 | Manchester United · Away6 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −0.98 |
| M12 | Everton · Home21 Nov 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.47 | −0.51 |
| M13 | West Ham · Home28 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.58 | +0.06 |
| M14 | Aston Villa · Away1 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +0.87 |
| M15 | Watford · Away4 Dec 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.48 | +1.35 |
| M16 | Wolverhampton · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.40 | +1.76 |
| M17 | Leeds · Home14 Dec 2021 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.38 | +2.13 |
| M18 | Newcastle · Away19 Dec 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +2.48 |
| M19 | Leicester · Home26 Dec 2021 | W 6-3 | 3 | +0.35 | +2.82 |
| M20 | Brentford · Away29 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.41 | +3.24 |
| M21 | Arsenal · Away1 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.25 |
| M22 | Chelsea · Home15 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +5.25 |
| M23 | Southampton · Away22 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.41 | +3.85 |
| M24 | Brentford · Home9 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.27 | +4.11 |
| M25 | Norwich · Away12 Feb 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.44 | +4.55 |
| M26 | Tottenham · Home19 Feb 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.42 | +2.13 |
| M27 | Everton · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.53 | +2.67 |
| M28 | Manchester United · Home6 Mar 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.76 | +3.43 |
| M29 | Crystal Palace · Away14 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.35 | +2.08 |
| M30 | Burnley · Away2 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.45 | +2.53 |
| M31 | Liverpool · Home10 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | +1.81 |
| M32 | Brighton · Home20 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +2.31 |
| M33 | Watford · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.31 | +2.62 |
| M34 | Leeds · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +3.26 |
| M35 | Newcastle · Home8 May 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.42 | +3.68 |
| M36 | Wolverhampton · Away11 May 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +4.23 |
| M37 | West Ham · Away15 May 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.27 | +2.96 |
| M38 | Aston Villa · Home22 May 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.41 | +3.38 |
| Total | 93 | +3.38 | |||