Points
58Points expected by the market
65.93Gap
−7.93Yield
−26.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 13 | −1.01 | −12.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 36 | −2.66 | −9.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.50 | −23.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −2.76 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 10 | −1.79 | −23.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +1.68 | +9.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.25 | +16.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.93 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.78 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −4.34 | −28.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.74 | −43.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −1.83 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leeds · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +1.01 |
| M2 | Southampton · Away22 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | 0.00 |
| M3 | Wolverhampton · Away29 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +1.11 |
| M4 | Newcastle · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.44 | +1.55 |
| M5 | West Ham · Away19 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.72 |
| M6 | Aston Villa · Home25 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.25 | +0.47 |
| M7 | Everton · Home2 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −0.63 |
| M8 | Leicester · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.70 | −2.33 |
| M9 | Liverpool · Home24 Oct 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.24 | −3.56 |
| M10 | Tottenham · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −2.11 |
| M11 | Manchester City · Home6 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.96 |
| M12 | Watford · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −2.13 | −5.09 |
| M13 | Chelsea · Away28 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | −4.78 |
| M14 | Arsenal · Home2 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.34 | −3.44 |
| M15 | Crystal Palace · Home5 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −2.56 |
| M16 | Norwich · Away11 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.78 | −1.77 |
| M17 | Newcastle · Away27 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.14 | −2.91 |
| M18 | Burnley · Home30 Dec 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.70 | −2.20 |
| M19 | Wolverhampton · Home3 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | −4.17 |
| M20 | Aston Villa · Away15 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −4.49 |
| M21 | Brentford · Away19 Jan 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −3.34 |
| M22 | West Ham · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −1.99 |
| M23 | Burnley · Away8 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | −3.07 |
| M24 | Southampton · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.07 | −4.14 |
| M25 | Brighton · Home15 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −2.98 |
| M26 | Leeds · Away20 Feb 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.07 | −1.91 |
| M27 | Watford · Home26 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.28 | −3.19 |
| M28 | Manchester City · Away6 Mar 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.57 | −3.76 |
| M29 | Tottenham · Home12 Mar 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | −2.27 |
| M30 | Leicester · Home2 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.06 | −3.33 |
| M31 | Everton · Away9 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −5.10 |
| M32 | Norwich · Home16 Apr 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.59 | −4.51 |
| M33 | Liverpool · Away19 Apr 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.51 | −5.02 |
| M34 | Arsenal · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.08 |
| M35 | Chelsea · Home28 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −6.16 |
| M36 | Brentford · Home2 May 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −5.05 |
| M37 | Brighton · Away7 May 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.46 | −6.51 |
| M38 | Crystal Palace · Away22 May 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −7.93 |
| Total | 58 | −7.93 | |||