Points
49Points expected by the market
39.56Gap
+9.44Yield
−0.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.12 | +1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 27 | +9.36 | +63.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 14 | −1.04 | −41.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.12 | +1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 18 | +5.57 | +40.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −0.15 | −28.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 9 | +3.79 | +116.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 10 | −0.89 | −46.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | West Ham · Home15 Aug 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.13 |
| M2 | Aston Villa · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.07 |
| M3 | Southampton · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −2.52 |
| M4 | Manchester United · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.31 | −2.83 |
| M5 | Leeds · Home17 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −3.03 |
| M6 | Watford · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −3.12 |
| M7 | Wolverhampton · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.99 |
| M8 | Tottenham · Home17 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −5.06 |
| M9 | Crystal Palace · Away23 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −5.01 |
| M10 | Chelsea · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.58 | −5.59 |
| M11 | Brighton · Away6 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −5.32 |
| M12 | Brentford · Home20 Nov 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.45 | −5.76 |
| M13 | Arsenal · Away27 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −6.43 |
| M14 | Norwich · Home30 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −7.07 |
| M15 | Burnley · Home4 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −5.58 |
| M16 | Leicester · Away12 Dec 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.86 | −6.44 |
| M17 | Liverpool · Away16 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.21 | −6.64 |
| M18 | Manchester City · Home19 Dec 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.24 | −6.88 |
| M19 | Manchester United · Home27 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.34 | −6.54 |
| M20 | Watford · Home15 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | −7.37 |
| M21 | Leeds · Away22 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −5.35 |
| M22 | Everton · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −3.78 |
| M23 | Aston Villa · Home13 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −2.10 |
| M24 | West Ham · Away19 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | −1.87 |
| M25 | Brentford · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −0.04 |
| M26 | Brighton · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.57 |
| M27 | Southampton · Away10 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +3.58 |
| M28 | Chelsea · Away13 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | +3.04 |
| M29 | Everton · Away17 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +1.83 |
| M30 | Tottenham · Away3 Apr 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.69 | +1.14 |
| M31 | Wolverhampton · Home8 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.41 |
| M32 | Leicester · Home17 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.72 |
| M33 | Crystal Palace · Home20 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +5.17 |
| M34 | Norwich · Away23 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +6.58 |
| M35 | Liverpool · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | +5.91 |
| M36 | Manchester City · Away8 May 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.30 | +5.61 |
| M37 | Arsenal · Home16 May 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +7.69 |
| M38 | Burnley · Away22 May 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +9.44 |
| Total | 49 | +9.44 | |||