Points
22Points expected by the market
29.77Gap
−7.77Yield
−48.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.24 | +31.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 33 | 16 | −7.53 | −61.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.24 | +31.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 6 | −5.34 | −74.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 10 | −2.20 | −51.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Liverpool · Home14 Aug 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −0.62 |
| M2 | Manchester City · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.22 | −0.85 |
| M3 | Leicester · Home28 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.80 |
| M4 | Arsenal · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | −2.37 |
| M5 | Watford · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −3.92 |
| M6 | Everton · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −4.70 |
| M7 | Burnley · Away2 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −4.69 |
| M8 | Brighton · Home16 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −4.67 |
| M9 | Chelsea · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.35 | −5.02 |
| M10 | Leeds · Home31 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.08 |
| M11 | Brentford · Away6 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.24 | −3.84 |
| M12 | Southampton · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −1.94 |
| M13 | Wolverhampton · Home27 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −2.04 |
| M14 | Newcastle · Away30 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −2.12 |
| M15 | Tottenham · Away5 Dec 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −2.72 |
| M16 | Manchester United · Home11 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.59 | −3.31 |
| M17 | Aston Villa · Home14 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −4.37 |
| M18 | Arsenal · Home26 Dec 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.67 | −5.04 |
| M19 | Crystal Palace · Away28 Dec 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −5.85 |
| M20 | West Ham · Away12 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −6.40 |
| M21 | Everton · Home15 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −4.53 |
| M22 | Watford · Away21 Jan 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.96 | −2.57 |
| M23 | Crystal Palace · Home9 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −2.68 |
| M24 | Manchester City · Home12 Feb 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.31 | −2.99 |
| M25 | Liverpool · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.23 | −3.22 |
| M26 | Southampton · Away25 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −3.87 |
| M27 | Brentford · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −5.10 |
| M28 | Chelsea · Home10 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −5.59 |
| M29 | Leeds · Away13 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −6.35 |
| M30 | Brighton · Away2 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.39 | −5.97 |
| M31 | Burnley · Home10 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −4.17 |
| M32 | Manchester United · Away16 Apr 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.44 | −4.61 |
| M33 | Newcastle · Home23 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.73 |
| M34 | Aston Villa · Away30 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −6.30 |
| M35 | West Ham · Home8 May 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.83 | −7.13 |
| M36 | Leicester · Away11 May 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −7.62 |
| M37 | Wolverhampton · Away15 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | −7.31 |
| M38 | Tottenham · Home22 May 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.46 | −7.77 |
| Total | 22 | −7.77 | |||