Points
40Points expected by the market
45.28Gap
−5.28Yield
−31.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | +0.25 | +11.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −7.03 | −79.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 16 | +1.50 | −23.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +1.87 | +24.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −4.22 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +1.11 | −33.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.63 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.81 | −62.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | +0.39 | −18.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Everton · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.02 |
| M2 | Manchester United · Home22 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −0.78 |
| M3 | Newcastle · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −1.06 |
| M4 | West Ham · Home11 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −1.27 |
| M5 | Manchester City · Away18 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.56 |
| M6 | Wolverhampton · Home26 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −2.16 |
| M7 | Chelsea · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −2.73 |
| M8 | Leeds · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −1.33 |
| M9 | Burnley · Home23 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | −2.06 |
| M10 | Watford · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.61 |
| M11 | Aston Villa · Home5 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +0.73 |
| M12 | Norwich · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.90 |
| M13 | Liverpool · Away27 Nov 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.40 | −1.30 |
| M14 | Leicester · Home1 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −1.80 |
| M15 | Brighton · Home4 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.23 |
| M16 | Arsenal · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.08 |
| M17 | Crystal Palace · Away15 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −3.13 |
| M18 | West Ham · Away26 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.00 | −1.13 |
| M19 | Tottenham · Home28 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −1.20 |
| M20 | Brentford · Home11 Jan 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.19 |
| M21 | Wolverhampton · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −0.99 |
| M22 | Manchester City · Home22 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.42 |
| M23 | Tottenham · Away9 Feb 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.28 | +1.85 |
| M24 | Manchester United · Away12 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | +2.14 |
| M25 | Everton · Home19 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +3.47 |
| M26 | Norwich · Home25 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +4.34 |
| M27 | Aston Villa · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.17 | +3.17 |
| M28 | Newcastle · Home10 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | +1.43 |
| M29 | Watford · Home13 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | −0.55 |
| M30 | Leeds · Away2 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.84 |
| M31 | Chelsea · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.86 |
| M32 | Arsenal · Home16 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +0.16 |
| M33 | Burnley · Away21 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.18 |
| M34 | Brighton · Away24 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | −1.22 |
| M35 | Crystal Palace · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −2.69 |
| M36 | Brentford · Away7 May 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.78 |
| M37 | Liverpool · Home17 May 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −4.42 |
| M38 | Leicester · Away22 May 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.86 | −5.28 |
| Total | 40 | −5.28 | |||