Points
71Points expected by the market
61.92Gap
+9.08Yield
+40.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.58 | +38.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 35 | +1.22 | +10.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.65 | +5.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +3.63 | +181.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.95 | +40.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +1.36 | +21.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.26 | +14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.47 | +96.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.63 | +31.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | −0.13 | −2.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.39 | +2.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +2.15 | +267.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Manchester City · Home15 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.27 | +2.27 |
| M2 | Wolverhampton · Away22 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.89 |
| M3 | Watford · Home29 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +4.70 |
| M4 | Crystal Palace · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.69 | +3.02 |
| M5 | Chelsea · Home19 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.97 | +2.05 |
| M6 | Arsenal · Away26 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.92 |
| M7 | Aston Villa · Home3 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.28 |
| M8 | Newcastle · Away17 Oct 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.34 | +3.62 |
| M9 | West Ham · Away24 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +2.42 |
| M10 | Manchester United · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +1.23 |
| M11 | Everton · Away7 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +0.67 |
| M12 | Leeds · Home21 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +1.64 |
| M13 | Brentford · Home2 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +2.66 |
| M14 | Norwich · Home5 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +3.47 |
| M15 | Liverpool · Home19 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | +3.64 |
| M16 | Crystal Palace · Home26 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +4.71 |
| M17 | Southampton · Away28 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +4.06 |
| M18 | Watford · Away1 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +5.04 |
| M19 | Leicester · Away19 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | +6.49 |
| M20 | Chelsea · Away23 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +5.66 |
| M21 | Southampton · Home9 Feb 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.05 | +3.62 |
| M22 | Wolverhampton · Home13 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.96 | +1.66 |
| M23 | Manchester City · Away19 Feb 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.58 | +4.24 |
| M24 | Burnley · Away23 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | +2.39 |
| M25 | Leeds · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.67 |
| M26 | Everton · Home7 Mar 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +4.75 |
| M27 | Manchester United · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.54 |
| M28 | Brighton · Away16 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +4.90 |
| M29 | West Ham · Home20 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.97 |
| M30 | Newcastle · Home3 Apr 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +6.89 |
| M31 | Aston Villa · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +8.30 |
| M32 | Brighton · Home16 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.12 | +6.18 |
| M33 | Brentford · Away23 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | +5.27 |
| M34 | Leicester · Home1 May 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.69 | +5.97 |
| M35 | Liverpool · Away7 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.40 | +6.37 |
| M36 | Arsenal · Home12 May 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.82 |
| M37 | Burnley · Home15 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +8.45 |
| M38 | Norwich · Away22 May 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +9.08 |
| Total | 71 | +9.08 | |||