Points
23Points expected by the market
33.34Gap
−10.34Yield
−23.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.32 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −3.97 | −14.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 28 | 16 | −4.04 | −21.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.32 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 3 | −4.54 | −41.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 4 | −4.21 | −41.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.57 | +67.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 12 | +0.17 | −7.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aston Villa · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.88 |
| M2 | Brighton · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +1.08 |
| M3 | Tottenham · Away29 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | +0.48 |
| M4 | Wolverhampton · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.63 |
| M5 | Norwich · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.21 |
| M6 | Newcastle · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +0.59 |
| M7 | Leeds · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.29 |
| M8 | Liverpool · Home16 Oct 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.51 | −0.80 |
| M9 | Everton · Away23 Oct 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +2.14 | +1.34 |
| M10 | Southampton · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.17 |
| M11 | Arsenal · Away7 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | −0.43 |
| M12 | Manchester United · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.34 | +1.91 |
| M13 | Leicester · Away28 Nov 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.81 | +1.10 |
| M14 | Chelsea · Home1 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | +0.62 |
| M15 | Manchester City · Home4 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.35 | +0.27 |
| M16 | Brentford · Away10 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.00 |
| M17 | West Ham · Home28 Dec 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.08 |
| M18 | Tottenham · Home1 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.82 |
| M19 | Newcastle · Away15 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −2.74 |
| M20 | Norwich · Home21 Jan 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.69 | −4.43 |
| M21 | Burnley · Away5 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −4.53 |
| M22 | West Ham · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −5.20 |
| M23 | Brighton · Home12 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −6.25 |
| M24 | Aston Villa · Away19 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.24 | −4.01 |
| M25 | Crystal Palace · Home23 Feb 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.28 | −5.29 |
| M26 | Manchester United · Away26 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.47 | −4.82 |
| M27 | Arsenal · Home6 Mar 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −5.48 |
| M28 | Wolverhampton · Away10 Mar 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.94 | −6.42 |
| M29 | Southampton · Away13 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.22 | −4.20 |
| M30 | Liverpool · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.28 | −4.48 |
| M31 | Leeds · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −5.79 |
| M32 | Brentford · Home16 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −7.05 |
| M33 | Manchester City · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.21 | −7.27 |
| M34 | Burnley · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −8.66 |
| M35 | Crystal Palace · Away7 May 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −9.46 |
| M36 | Everton · Home11 May 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.24 | −9.22 |
| M37 | Leicester · Home15 May 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.81 | −10.03 |
| M38 | Chelsea · Away22 May 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.31 | −10.34 |
| Total | 23 | −10.34 | |||