Points
56Points expected by the market
54.04Gap
+1.96Yield
+2.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 23 | −2.78 | −19.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 23 | +5.48 | +40.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −1.49 | −15.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 13 | −5.99 | −47.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.58 | +142.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.89 | +85.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +3.21 | +48.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +0.90 | +6.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 0 | −4.38 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Newcastle · Away15 Aug 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.41 |
| M2 | Leicester · Home23 Aug 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.96 |
| M3 | Crystal Palace · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.08 | +1.88 |
| M4 | Southampton · Away11 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +1.37 |
| M5 | Manchester United · Home19 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +0.45 |
| M6 | Leeds · Away25 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.97 |
| M7 | Brentford · Home3 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.88 | +0.08 |
| M8 | Everton · Away17 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.69 |
| M9 | Tottenham · Home24 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.15 |
| M10 | Aston Villa · Away31 Oct 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.68 |
| M11 | Liverpool · Home7 Nov 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.12 | +6.80 |
| M12 | Wolverhampton · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +5.31 |
| M13 | Manchester City · Away28 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.42 | +4.89 |
| M14 | Brighton · Home1 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +4.14 |
| M15 | Chelsea · Home4 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.14 | +6.28 |
| M16 | Burnley · Away12 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | +5.67 |
| M17 | Arsenal · Away15 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +4.60 |
| M18 | Southampton · Home26 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.74 | +2.86 |
| M19 | Watford · Away28 Dec 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +4.20 |
| M20 | Crystal Palace · Away1 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.42 | +5.61 |
| M21 | Norwich · Home12 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +6.36 |
| M22 | Leeds · Home16 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.95 | +4.41 |
| M23 | Manchester United · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +3.32 |
| M24 | Watford · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +4.22 |
| M25 | Leicester · Away13 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.77 |
| M26 | Newcastle · Home19 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | +2.79 |
| M27 | Wolverhampton · Home27 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +4.01 |
| M28 | Liverpool · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.40 | +3.60 |
| M29 | Aston Villa · Home13 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +5.17 |
| M30 | Tottenham · Away20 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +4.35 |
| M31 | Everton · Home3 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +5.48 |
| M32 | Brentford · Away10 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +4.13 |
| M33 | Burnley · Home17 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | +3.28 |
| M34 | Chelsea · Away24 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | +2.71 |
| M35 | Arsenal · Home1 May 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.80 |
| M36 | Norwich · Away8 May 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.87 |
| M37 | Manchester City · Home15 May 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.45 | +3.32 |
| M38 | Brighton · Away22 May 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.96 |
| Total | 56 | +1.96 | |||