Points
51Points expected by the market
44.43Gap
+6.57Yield
+27.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.99 | −38.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 22 | +2.60 | +32.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 20 | +5.96 | +45.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −1.38 | −25.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.05 | +45.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −2.69 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.61 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.55 | +10.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 19 | +8.65 | +102.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leicester · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −0.83 |
| M2 | Tottenham · Home22 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.13 |
| M3 | Manchester United · Home29 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.98 |
| M4 | Watford · Away11 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.56 |
| M5 | Brentford · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.86 | −3.43 |
| M6 | Southampton · Away26 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −1.54 |
| M7 | Newcastle · Home2 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | −0.41 |
| M8 | Aston Villa · Away16 Oct 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.95 | +1.54 |
| M9 | Leeds · Away23 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +1.28 |
| M10 | Everton · Home1 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +2.70 |
| M11 | Crystal Palace · Away6 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +1.54 |
| M12 | West Ham · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.33 |
| M13 | Norwich · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | +2.72 |
| M14 | Burnley · Home1 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +1.95 |
| M15 | Liverpool · Home4 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | +1.41 |
| M16 | Manchester City · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.28 | +1.14 |
| M17 | Brighton · Away15 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +3.14 |
| M18 | Chelsea · Home19 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | +3.32 |
| M19 | Manchester United · Away3 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.22 | +5.55 |
| M20 | Southampton · Home15 Jan 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +7.04 |
| M21 | Brentford · Away22 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +8.84 |
| M22 | Arsenal · Home10 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +7.75 |
| M23 | Tottenham · Away13 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.22 | +9.97 |
| M24 | Leicester · Home20 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +11.37 |
| M25 | Arsenal · Away24 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +10.62 |
| M26 | West Ham · Away27 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | +9.69 |
| M27 | Crystal Palace · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +8.16 |
| M28 | Watford · Home10 Mar 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +9.38 |
| M29 | Everton · Away13 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +11.26 |
| M30 | Leeds · Home18 Mar 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.58 | +9.67 |
| M31 | Aston Villa · Home2 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +11.42 |
| M32 | Newcastle · Away8 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +10.44 |
| M33 | Burnley · Away24 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +9.19 |
| M34 | Brighton · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | +7.82 |
| M35 | Chelsea · Away7 May 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.49 | +8.31 |
| M36 | Manchester City · Home11 May 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.40 | +7.92 |
| M37 | Norwich · Home15 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.09 | +6.83 |
| M38 | Liverpool · Away22 May 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.26 | +6.57 |
| Total | 51 | +6.57 | |||