Points
84Points expected by the market
73.63Gap
+10.37Yield
+17.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 29 | +0.81 | −1.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 42 | +6.89 | +23.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.46 | +47.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.79 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 22 | +2.58 | +12.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 20 | +2.33 | +12.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.42 | +26.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 7 | −1.77 | −28.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 22 | +4.56 | +35.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +3.04 | +56.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.79 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crystal Palace · Away5 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +1.17 |
| M2 | Leicester · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.93 | +2.10 |
| M3 | Bournemouth · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +2.89 |
| M4 | Fulham · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +3.63 |
| M5 | Aston Villa · Home31 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +4.54 |
| M6 | Manchester United · Away4 Sep 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | +3.18 |
| M7 | Brentford · Away18 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +4.32 |
| M8 | Tottenham · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.61 |
| M9 | Liverpool · Home9 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +7.21 |
| M10 | Leeds · Away16 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +8.23 |
| M11 | Southampton · Away23 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | +7.07 |
| M12 | Nottingham Forest · Home30 Oct 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +7.57 |
| M13 | Chelsea · Away6 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +9.19 |
| M14 | Wolverhampton · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +10.10 |
| M15 | West Ham · Home26 Dec 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +11.01 |
| M16 | Brighton · Away31 Dec 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.20 | +12.21 |
| M17 | Newcastle · Home3 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +11.32 |
| M18 | Tottenham · Away15 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +12.73 |
| M19 | Manchester United · Home22 Jan 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.20 | +13.93 |
| M20 | Everton · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.19 | +11.75 |
| M21 | Brentford · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.11 | +10.64 |
| M22 | Manchester City · Home15 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +9.46 |
| M23 | Aston Villa · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.19 | +10.65 |
| M24 | Leicester · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +11.60 |
| M25 | Everton · Home1 Mar 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +12.23 |
| M26 | Bournemouth · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.49 | +12.72 |
| M27 | Fulham · Away12 Mar 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +13.50 |
| M28 | Crystal Palace · Home19 Mar 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.56 | +14.07 |
| M29 | Leeds · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.58 | +14.64 |
| M30 | Liverpool · Away9 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +14.24 |
| M31 | West Ham · Away16 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.02 | +13.22 |
| M32 | Southampton · Home21 Apr 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.52 | +11.70 |
| M33 | Manchester City · Away26 Apr 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.79 | +10.90 |
| M34 | Chelsea · Home2 May 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +11.88 |
| M35 | Newcastle · Away7 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +13.65 |
| M36 | Brighton · Home14 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.89 | +11.76 |
| M37 | Nottingham Forest · Away20 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.99 | +9.77 |
| M38 | Wolverhampton · Home28 May 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +10.37 |
| Total | 84 | +10.37 | |||