Points
61Points expected by the market
49.55Gap
+11.45Yield
+33.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 29 | +4.34 | +21.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +3.39 | +26.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 14 | +3.73 | +50.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 28 | +6.76 | +42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.29 | +173.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.33 | −27.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.42 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.09 | −5.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 10 | +4.06 | +99.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bournemouth · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.72 |
| M2 | Everton · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | −0.61 |
| M3 | Crystal Palace · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.85 |
| M4 | West Ham · Home28 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −3.50 |
| M5 | Arsenal · Away31 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −4.19 |
| M6 | Manchester City · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.51 | −3.68 |
| M7 | Southampton · Home16 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −2.34 |
| M8 | Leeds · Away2 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −2.58 |
| M9 | Nottingham Forest · Away10 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −3.28 |
| M10 | Chelsea · Home16 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −4.28 |
| M11 | Fulham · Away20 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −5.74 |
| M12 | Brentford · Home23 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −4.41 |
| M13 | Newcastle · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.87 | −5.28 |
| M14 | Manchester United · Home6 Nov 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −3.46 |
| M15 | Brighton · Away13 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.16 | −1.30 |
| M16 | Liverpool · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −2.15 |
| M17 | Tottenham · Away1 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.20 | +0.06 |
| M18 | Wolverhampton · Home4 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.70 |
| M19 | Leeds · Home13 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.61 |
| M20 | Southampton · Away21 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +2.28 |
| M21 | Leicester · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.64 | +0.64 |
| M22 | Manchester City · Away12 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.47 | +0.17 |
| M23 | Arsenal · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.75 |
| M24 | Everton · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.97 |
| M25 | Crystal Palace · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.34 |
| M26 | West Ham · Away12 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +2.16 |
| M27 | Bournemouth · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +3.24 |
| M28 | Chelsea · Away1 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.27 | +5.51 |
| M29 | Leicester · Away4 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +7.14 |
| M30 | Nottingham Forest · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +8.08 |
| M31 | Newcastle · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +10.01 |
| M32 | Brentford · Away22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +9.69 |
| M33 | Fulham · Home25 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +10.79 |
| M34 | Manchester United · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | +9.91 |
| M35 | Wolverhampton · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +8.41 |
| M36 | Tottenham · Home13 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +9.89 |
| M37 | Liverpool · Away20 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.33 | +10.22 |
| M38 | Brighton · Home28 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +11.45 |
| Total | 61 | +11.45 | |||