Points
39Points expected by the market
33.00Gap
+6.00Yield
+14.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +3.80 | +28.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 21 | +2.20 | +9.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +2.07 | +11.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | +0.40 | +24.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.73 | +195.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 14 | +1.80 | +2.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aston Villa · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +2.00 |
| M2 | Manchester City · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.17 | +1.83 |
| M3 | Arsenal · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.59 | +1.25 |
| M4 | Liverpool · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 0-9 | 0 | −0.26 | +0.98 |
| M5 | Wolverhampton · Home31 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.81 |
| M6 | Nottingham Forest · Away3 Sep 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.89 | +2.70 |
| M7 | Newcastle · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.43 | +3.14 |
| M8 | Brentford · Home1 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +2.95 |
| M9 | Leicester · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +4.81 |
| M10 | Fulham · Away15 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | +4.81 |
| M11 | Southampton · Home19 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +3.44 |
| M12 | West Ham · Away24 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +2.71 |
| M13 | Tottenham · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.83 | +1.87 |
| M14 | Leeds · Away5 Nov 2022 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.78 | +1.10 |
| M15 | Everton · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +2.78 |
| M16 | Chelsea · Away27 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.50 | +2.28 |
| M17 | Crystal Palace · Home31 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.99 |
| M18 | Manchester United · Away3 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.41 | +0.58 |
| M19 | Brentford · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −0.16 |
| M20 | Nottingham Forest · Home21 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.47 |
| M21 | Brighton · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.01 |
| M22 | Newcastle · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −0.75 |
| M23 | Wolverhampton · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +1.37 |
| M24 | Manchester City · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.47 | +0.90 |
| M25 | Arsenal · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.35 | +0.54 |
| M26 | Liverpool · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.41 | +2.96 |
| M27 | Aston Villa · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | +2.13 |
| M28 | Fulham · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +3.71 |
| M29 | Brighton · Home4 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | +2.99 |
| M30 | Leicester · Away8 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +4.93 |
| M31 | Tottenham · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.34 | +7.27 |
| M32 | West Ham · Home23 Apr 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.26 | +6.00 |
| M33 | Southampton · Away27 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +7.73 |
| M34 | Leeds · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +9.28 |
| M35 | Chelsea · Home6 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | +8.20 |
| M36 | Crystal Palace · Away13 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +7.34 |
| M37 | Manchester United · Home20 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.58 | +6.76 |
| M38 | Everton · Away28 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | +6.00 |
| Total | 39 | +6.00 | |||