Points
59Points expected by the market
46.57Gap
+12.43Yield
+61.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +4.11 | +11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −0.40 | −18.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 23 | +8.72 | +142.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +4.11 | +11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 8 | +3.22 | +65.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.61 | +109.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −3.62 | −66.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 16 | +6.11 | +156.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leicester · Away7 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| M2 | Manchester United · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +2.11 |
| M3 | Fulham · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.77 |
| M4 | Everton · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | +0.11 |
| M5 | Crystal Palace · Away30 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.05 |
| M6 | Leeds · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.43 |
| M7 | Arsenal · Home18 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.54 |
| M8 | Bournemouth · Away1 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.01 |
| M9 | Newcastle · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.81 |
| M10 | Brighton · Home14 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.02 |
| M11 | Chelsea · Home19 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +1.10 |
| M12 | Aston Villa · Away23 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.04 |
| M13 | Wolverhampton · Home29 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.56 |
| M14 | Nottingham Forest · Away5 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.87 |
| M15 | Manchester City · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.73 | +1.87 |
| M16 | Tottenham · Home26 Dec 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +1.77 |
| M17 | West Ham · Away30 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +3.70 |
| M18 | Liverpool · Home2 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.31 | +6.01 |
| M19 | Bournemouth · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +7.00 |
| M20 | Leeds · Away22 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | +6.75 |
| M21 | Southampton · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +7.85 |
| M22 | Arsenal · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.33 | +8.18 |
| M23 | Crystal Palace · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | +7.32 |
| M24 | Fulham · Home6 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.31 | +8.64 |
| M25 | Everton · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +7.34 |
| M26 | Southampton · Away15 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +8.83 |
| M27 | Leicester · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +8.03 |
| M28 | Brighton · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.25 | +8.28 |
| M29 | Manchester United · Away5 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | +7.51 |
| M30 | Newcastle · Home8 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +6.54 |
| M31 | Wolverhampton · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +5.17 |
| M32 | Aston Villa · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +4.78 |
| M33 | Chelsea · Away26 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +6.92 |
| M34 | Nottingham Forest · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +8.01 |
| M35 | Liverpool · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | +7.40 |
| M36 | West Ham · Home14 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +8.56 |
| M37 | Tottenham · Away20 May 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +10.55 |
| M38 | Manchester City · Home28 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +12.43 |
| Total | 59 | +12.43 | |||