Points
62Points expected by the market
60.50Gap
+1.50Yield
+9.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 10 | −1.67 | −20.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 28 | −0.15 | −0.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +1.91 | +37.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +1.41 | +13.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 10 | −1.67 | −20.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +0.69 | +13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.64 | +50.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.92 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | −0.85 | −16.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.27 | +29.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 7 | +2.33 | +51.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Manchester United · Away7 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.13 | +2.13 |
| M2 | Newcastle · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +1.65 |
| M3 | West Ham · Away21 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +3.37 |
| M4 | Leeds · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.47 |
| M5 | Fulham · Away30 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +2.93 |
| M6 | Leicester · Home4 Sep 2022 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.22 | +4.15 |
| M7 | Liverpool · Away1 Oct 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.37 | +4.52 |
| M8 | Tottenham · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | +3.11 |
| M9 | Brentford · Away14 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +1.56 |
| M10 | Nottingham Forest · Home18 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.27 | +0.29 |
| M11 | Manchester City · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −0.08 |
| M12 | Chelsea · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.70 |
| M13 | Wolverhampton · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.38 | +3.09 |
| M14 | Aston Villa · Home13 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | +1.18 |
| M15 | Southampton · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +2.54 |
| M16 | Arsenal · Home31 Dec 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.94 | +1.60 |
| M17 | Everton · Away3 Jan 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +3.09 |
| M18 | Liverpool · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +4.84 |
| M19 | Leicester · Away21 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | +4.03 |
| M20 | Bournemouth · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +4.76 |
| M21 | Crystal Palace · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +3.88 |
| M22 | Fulham · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | +1.79 |
| M23 | West Ham · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.83 |
| M24 | Leeds · Away11 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | +2.01 |
| M25 | Crystal Palace · Home15 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +2.71 |
| M26 | Brentford · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.02 | +1.70 |
| M27 | Bournemouth · Away4 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +2.64 |
| M28 | Tottenham · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +1.24 |
| M29 | Chelsea · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.79 |
| M30 | Nottingham Forest · Away26 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.03 | +0.77 |
| M31 | Wolverhampton · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +1.70 |
| M32 | Manchester United · Home4 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +3.12 |
| M33 | Everton · Home8 May 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −2.31 | +0.81 |
| M34 | Arsenal · Away14 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +2.92 |
| M35 | Newcastle · Away18 May 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.93 | +1.99 |
| M36 | Southampton · Home21 May 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.48 | +2.47 |
| M37 | Manchester City · Home24 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +2.49 |
| M38 | Aston Villa · Away28 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +1.50 |
| Total | 62 | +1.50 | |||