Points
45Points expected by the market
43.14Gap
+1.86Yield
−24.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +2.69 | +14.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +1.87 | +15.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 13 | −2.70 | −59.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +2.69 | +14.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +1.89 | +49.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.62 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | −0.02 | −12.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −1.08 | −37.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arsenal · Home5 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.90 |
| M2 | Liverpool · Away15 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.31 |
| M3 | Aston Villa · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.24 |
| M4 | Manchester City · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.32 | +0.92 |
| M5 | Brentford · Home30 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | +0.26 |
| M6 | Newcastle · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.20 |
| M7 | Chelsea · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −0.65 |
| M8 | Leeds · Home9 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +0.68 |
| M9 | Leicester · Away15 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.44 |
| M10 | Wolverhampton · Home18 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.78 |
| M11 | Everton · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.25 | +0.53 |
| M12 | Southampton · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.87 |
| M13 | West Ham · Away6 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +3.94 |
| M14 | Nottingham Forest · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +2.41 |
| M15 | Fulham · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.58 | +0.83 |
| M16 | Bournemouth · Away31 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.42 |
| M17 | Tottenham · Home4 Jan 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.15 | +1.28 |
| M18 | Chelsea · Away15 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.37 |
| M19 | Manchester United · Home18 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.58 |
| M20 | Newcastle · Home21 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.68 |
| M21 | Manchester United · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.51 | +0.17 |
| M22 | Brighton · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.30 |
| M23 | Brentford · Away18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.43 |
| M24 | Liverpool · Home25 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.60 |
| M25 | Aston Villa · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.47 |
| M26 | Manchester City · Home11 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.48 | −0.95 |
| M27 | Brighton · Away15 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.51 | −1.46 |
| M28 | Arsenal · Away19 Mar 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.40 | −1.86 |
| M29 | Leicester · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.37 |
| M30 | Leeds · Away9 Apr 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +1.58 |
| M31 | Southampton · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +3.18 |
| M32 | Everton · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | +2.43 |
| M33 | Wolverhampton · Away25 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.31 |
| M34 | West Ham · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.88 |
| M35 | Tottenham · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | +1.96 |
| M36 | Bournemouth · Home13 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +3.07 |
| M37 | Fulham · Away20 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +2.88 |
| M38 | Nottingham Forest · Home28 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +1.86 |
| Total | 45 | +1.86 | |||