Points
36Points expected by the market
40.47Gap
−4.47Yield
−15.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.20 | −19.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −2.84 | −11.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 13 | −1.84 | −18.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.20 | −19.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −2.06 | +8.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −0.39 | +11.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.78 | −46.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 8 | −1.45 | −35.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Chelsea · Home6 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.69 |
| M2 | Aston Villa · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −1.53 |
| M3 | Nottingham Forest · Home20 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −2.32 |
| M4 | Brentford · Away27 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −2.38 |
| M5 | Leeds · Away30 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −2.48 |
| M6 | Liverpool · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.44 | −2.04 |
| M7 | West Ham · Home18 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.33 |
| M8 | Southampton · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +1.49 |
| M9 | Manchester United · Home9 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.42 |
| M10 | Tottenham · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −0.20 |
| M11 | Newcastle · Away19 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.99 |
| M12 | Crystal Palace · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.57 |
| M13 | Fulham · Away29 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.39 |
| M14 | Leicester · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.04 |
| M15 | Bournemouth · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.42 |
| M16 | Wolverhampton · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −3.87 |
| M17 | Manchester City · Away31 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.73 | −3.13 |
| M18 | Brighton · Home3 Jan 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.20 | −4.33 |
| M19 | Southampton · Home14 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −5.84 |
| M20 | West Ham · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −6.74 |
| M21 | Arsenal · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.41 | −4.33 |
| M22 | Liverpool · Away13 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −5.06 |
| M23 | Leeds · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −3.42 |
| M24 | Aston Villa · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −4.83 |
| M25 | Arsenal · Away1 Mar 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.44 | −5.27 |
| M26 | Nottingham Forest · Away5 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −5.69 |
| M27 | Brentford · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −4.08 |
| M28 | Chelsea · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.40 | −3.67 |
| M29 | Tottenham · Home3 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −3.72 |
| M30 | Manchester United · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −4.43 |
| M31 | Fulham · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −6.02 |
| M32 | Crystal Palace · Away22 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −5.98 |
| M33 | Newcastle · Home27 Apr 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.90 | −6.88 |
| M34 | Leicester · Away1 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −6.89 |
| M35 | Brighton · Away8 May 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +2.48 | −4.41 |
| M36 | Manchester City · Home14 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.53 | −4.94 |
| M37 | Wolverhampton · Away20 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −5.46 |
| M38 | Bournemouth · Home28 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −4.47 |
| Total | 36 | −4.47 | |||