Points
52Points expected by the market
40.69Gap
+11.31Yield
+22.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.67 | +25.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 37 | +12.40 | +70.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 8 | −2.75 | −36.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.67 | +25.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +3.22 | +27.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.61 | −20.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 19 | +9.18 | +129.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 4 | −3.36 | −43.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Liverpool · Home6 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.57 |
| M2 | Wolverhampton · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.43 |
| M3 | Brentford · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.06 |
| M4 | Arsenal · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.56 | +1.51 |
| M5 | Brighton · Home30 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +3.34 |
| M6 | Tottenham · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.68 | +2.67 |
| M7 | Nottingham Forest · Away16 Sep 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +4.27 |
| M8 | Newcastle · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.27 | +2.99 |
| M9 | West Ham · Away9 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | +2.23 |
| M10 | Bournemouth · Home15 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.74 | +1.50 |
| M11 | Aston Villa · Home20 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.24 |
| M12 | Leeds · Away23 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.90 | +5.14 |
| M13 | Everton · Home29 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +4.60 |
| M14 | Manchester City · Away5 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.31 | +4.29 |
| M15 | Manchester United · Home13 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +3.34 |
| M16 | Crystal Palace · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +5.19 |
| M17 | Southampton · Home31 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +6.36 |
| M18 | Leicester · Away3 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +8.11 |
| M19 | Chelsea · Home12 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +10.11 |
| M20 | Newcastle · Away15 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | +9.47 |
| M21 | Tottenham · Home23 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +8.34 |
| M22 | Chelsea · Away3 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | +8.61 |
| M23 | Nottingham Forest · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +9.85 |
| M24 | Brighton · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.31 | +12.16 |
| M25 | Wolverhampton · Home24 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +11.75 |
| M26 | Brentford · Away6 Mar 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.04 | +10.71 |
| M27 | Arsenal · Home12 Mar 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.58 | +10.13 |
| M28 | Bournemouth · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +8.84 |
| M29 | West Ham · Home8 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +7.57 |
| M30 | Everton · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +9.45 |
| M31 | Leeds · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +10.96 |
| M32 | Aston Villa · Away25 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | +10.12 |
| M33 | Manchester City · Home30 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.41 | +9.70 |
| M34 | Liverpool · Away3 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | +9.25 |
| M35 | Leicester · Home8 May 2023 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.64 | +10.89 |
| M36 | Southampton · Away13 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +12.50 |
| M37 | Crystal Palace · Home20 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +11.98 |
| M38 | Manchester United · Away28 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +11.31 |
| Total | 52 | +11.31 | |||