Points
31Points expected by the market
42.82Gap
−11.82Yield
−24.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.62 | −11.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 11 | −8.85 | −62.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 10 | −2.34 | +4.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.62 | −11.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.50 | −59.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −0.52 | −13.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 4 | −7.35 | −63.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 5 | −1.82 | +17.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wolverhampton · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.53 |
| M2 | Southampton · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.25 |
| M3 | Chelsea · Home21 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.31 | +3.56 |
| M4 | Brighton · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | +2.71 |
| M5 | Everton · Home30 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +2.08 |
| M6 | Brentford · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.96 |
| M7 | Aston Villa · Home2 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.48 |
| M8 | Crystal Palace · Away9 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −0.59 |
| M9 | Arsenal · Home16 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −1.37 |
| M10 | Leicester · Away20 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.58 |
| M11 | Fulham · Home23 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.64 | −4.22 |
| M12 | Liverpool · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.62 | −1.60 |
| M13 | Bournemouth · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.01 | −0.60 |
| M14 | Tottenham · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.78 | −1.38 |
| M15 | Manchester City · Home28 Dec 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.44 | −1.81 |
| M16 | Newcastle · Away31 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.38 | −1.43 |
| M17 | West Ham · Home4 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.72 |
| M18 | Aston Villa · Away13 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.76 |
| M19 | Brentford · Home22 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −3.24 |
| M20 | Nottingham Forest · Away5 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −4.64 |
| M21 | Manchester United · Away8 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.33 | −4.31 |
| M22 | Manchester United · Home12 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −5.34 |
| M23 | Everton · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −6.69 |
| M24 | Southampton · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −5.43 |
| M25 | Chelsea · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −6.14 |
| M26 | Brighton · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | −6.07 |
| M27 | Wolverhampton · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.82 | −4.25 |
| M28 | Arsenal · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.42 | −4.67 |
| M29 | Nottingham Forest · Home4 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −3.61 |
| M30 | Crystal Palace · Home9 Apr 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.67 | −5.28 |
| M31 | Liverpool · Home17 Apr 2023 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.85 | −6.14 |
| M32 | Fulham · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −7.37 |
| M33 | Leicester · Home25 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −7.86 |
| M34 | Bournemouth · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −9.12 |
| M35 | Manchester City · Away6 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.28 | −9.41 |
| M36 | Newcastle · Home13 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.21 | −9.20 |
| M37 | West Ham · Away21 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −10.54 |
| M38 | Tottenham · Home28 May 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.29 | −11.82 |
| Total | 31 | −11.82 | |||