Points
34Points expected by the market
43.70Gap
−9.70Yield
−33.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.54 | −36.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 14 | −6.17 | −28.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 12 | −0.99 | −36.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.54 | −36.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.59 | −32.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.14 | −41.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.58 | −24.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | +0.16 | −34.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brentford · Home7 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.77 |
| M2 | Arsenal · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.48 |
| M3 | Southampton · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.87 | −3.35 |
| M4 | Chelsea · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −3.91 |
| M5 | Manchester United · Home1 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.06 |
| M6 | Brighton · Away4 Sep 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.95 | −6.01 |
| M7 | Tottenham · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.67 | −6.68 |
| M8 | Nottingham Forest · Home3 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −5.60 |
| M9 | Bournemouth · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −7.18 |
| M10 | Crystal Palace · Home15 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −7.66 |
| M11 | Leeds · Home20 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −6.18 |
| M12 | Wolverhampton · Away23 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −4.39 |
| M13 | Manchester City · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | −4.96 |
| M14 | Everton · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −3.24 |
| M15 | West Ham · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −1.30 |
| M16 | Newcastle · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.42 |
| M17 | Liverpool · Away30 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.39 | −2.81 |
| M18 | Fulham · Home3 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −4.30 |
| M19 | Nottingham Forest · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −5.63 |
| M20 | Brighton · Home21 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | −5.58 |
| M21 | Aston Villa · Away4 Feb 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.92 | −3.66 |
| M22 | Tottenham · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −1.74 |
| M23 | Manchester United · Away19 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −2.46 |
| M24 | Arsenal · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −3.18 |
| M25 | Southampton · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −4.57 |
| M26 | Chelsea · Home11 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.55 |
| M27 | Brentford · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −5.51 |
| M28 | Crystal Palace · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −6.71 |
| M29 | Aston Villa · Home4 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −8.06 |
| M30 | Bournemouth · Home8 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −9.72 |
| M31 | Manchester City · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.25 | −9.97 |
| M32 | Wolverhampton · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −8.45 |
| M33 | Leeds · Away25 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −8.70 |
| M34 | Everton · Home1 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −9.40 |
| M35 | Fulham · Away8 May 2023 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.35 | −10.76 |
| M36 | Liverpool · Home15 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −11.60 |
| M37 | Newcastle · Away22 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.53 | −11.07 |
| M38 | West Ham · Home28 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −9.70 |
| Total | 34 | −9.70 | |||