Points
89Points expected by the market
86.33Gap
+2.67Yield
+0.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 26 | 67 | +3.15 | +1.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 19 | −1.93 | −12.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.46 | +129.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 37 | +1.15 | +2.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 15 | +4.76 | +59.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 30 | +2.00 | −0.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 4 | −6.70 | −72.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.46 | +129.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | West Ham · Away7 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +0.73 |
| M2 | Bournemouth · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.24 | +0.98 |
| M3 | Newcastle · Away21 Aug 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.19 | −0.22 |
| M4 | Crystal Palace · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.45 | +0.23 |
| M5 | Nottingham Forest · Home31 Aug 2022 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.27 | +0.50 |
| M6 | Aston Villa · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.35 | −0.84 |
| M7 | Wolverhampton · Away17 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.67 | −0.18 |
| M8 | Manchester United · Home2 Oct 2022 | W 6-3 | 3 | +0.80 | +0.63 |
| M9 | Southampton · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.33 | +0.95 |
| M10 | Liverpool · Away16 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −0.82 |
| M11 | Brighton · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.51 | −0.31 |
| M12 | Leicester · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +0.45 |
| M13 | Fulham · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.43 | +0.88 |
| M14 | Brentford · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.62 | −1.74 |
| M15 | Leeds · Away28 Dec 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.59 | −1.15 |
| M16 | Everton · Home31 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.62 | −2.77 |
| M17 | Chelsea · Away5 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −1.75 |
| M18 | Manchester United · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −3.53 |
| M19 | Tottenham · Home19 Jan 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.86 | −2.66 |
| M20 | Wolverhampton · Home22 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.55 | −2.12 |
| M21 | Tottenham · Away5 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −3.89 |
| M22 | Aston Villa · Home12 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.64 | −3.25 |
| M23 | Arsenal · Away15 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −1.79 |
| M24 | Nottingham Forest · Away18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.38 | −3.17 |
| M25 | Bournemouth · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.66 | −2.51 |
| M26 | Newcastle · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | −1.65 |
| M27 | Crystal Palace · Away11 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.67 | −0.98 |
| M28 | Liverpool · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.07 |
| M29 | Southampton · Away8 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.54 | +0.61 |
| M30 | Leicester · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.36 | +0.97 |
| M31 | Arsenal · Home26 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.99 |
| M32 | Fulham · Away30 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.57 | +2.56 |
| M33 | West Ham · Home3 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +2.99 |
| M34 | Leeds · Home6 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.40 | +3.39 |
| M35 | Everton · Away14 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +4.11 |
| M36 | Chelsea · Home21 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +5.07 |
| M37 | Brighton · Away24 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +4.28 |
| M38 | Brentford · Away28 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +2.67 |
| Total | 89 | +2.67 | |||