Points
75Points expected by the market
65.48Gap
+9.52Yield
+19.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 19 | +2.88 | +17.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 42 | +6.69 | +23.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.65 | −37.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.61 | +114.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 16 | +2.11 | +14.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 20 | +2.34 | +8.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.14 | +151.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.17 | +328.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.77 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +4.35 | +36.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 2 | −5.79 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brighton · Home7 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −1.88 |
| M2 | Brentford · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.83 | −3.71 |
| M3 | Liverpool · Home22 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | −1.56 |
| M4 | Southampton · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.29 |
| M5 | Leicester · Away1 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.12 |
| M6 | Arsenal · Home4 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.75 |
| M7 | Manchester City · Away2 Oct 2022 | L 3-6 | 0 | −0.62 | +2.13 |
| M8 | Everton · Away9 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +3.48 |
| M9 | Newcastle · Home16 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +2.82 |
| M10 | Tottenham · Home19 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.33 |
| M11 | Chelsea · Away22 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +4.22 |
| M12 | West Ham · Home30 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.29 |
| M13 | Aston Villa · Away6 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +3.75 |
| M14 | Fulham · Away13 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +4.96 |
| M15 | Nottingham Forest · Home27 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +5.63 |
| M16 | Wolverhampton · Away31 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +6.87 |
| M17 | Bournemouth · Home3 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +7.44 |
| M18 | Manchester City · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +9.46 |
| M19 | Crystal Palace · Away18 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | +8.50 |
| M20 | Arsenal · Away22 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +7.55 |
| M21 | Crystal Palace · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +8.26 |
| M22 | Leeds · Home8 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.12 | +7.14 |
| M23 | Leeds · Away12 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +8.42 |
| M24 | Leicester · Home19 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +9.36 |
| M25 | Liverpool · Away5 Mar 2023 | L 0-7 | 0 | −1.28 | +8.07 |
| M26 | Southampton · Home12 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.42 | +6.65 |
| M27 | Newcastle · Away2 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +5.44 |
| M28 | Brentford · Home5 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +6.44 |
| M29 | Everton · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +7.37 |
| M30 | Nottingham Forest · Away16 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +8.43 |
| M31 | Tottenham · Away27 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | +7.96 |
| M32 | Aston Villa · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +9.07 |
| M33 | Brighton · Away4 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +7.90 |
| M34 | West Ham · Away7 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | +6.24 |
| M35 | Wolverhampton · Home13 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +6.96 |
| M36 | Bournemouth · Away20 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +7.73 |
| M37 | Chelsea · Home25 May 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +8.66 |
| M38 | Fulham · Home28 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +9.52 |
| Total | 75 | +9.52 | |||