Points
71Points expected by the market
62.81Gap
+8.19Yield
−3.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −2.39 | −45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 44 | +8.80 | +24.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.42 | +15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.65 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −2.39 | −45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 26 | +7.28 | +42.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.44 | −22.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.39 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +1.52 | +5.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +3.86 | +34.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nottingham Forest · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.94 |
| M2 | Brighton · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.72 |
| M3 | Manchester City · Home21 Aug 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.39 | +1.10 |
| M4 | Wolverhampton · Away28 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.82 |
| M5 | Liverpool · Away31 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.44 | +0.38 |
| M6 | Crystal Palace · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.28 |
| M7 | Bournemouth · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.23 | −1.52 |
| M8 | Fulham · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.04 |
| M9 | Brentford · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.08 |
| M10 | Manchester United · Away16 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +1.00 |
| M11 | Everton · Home19 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +2.02 |
| M12 | Tottenham · Away23 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.88 |
| M13 | Aston Villa · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +5.00 |
| M14 | Southampton · Away6 Nov 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +6.17 |
| M15 | Chelsea · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +7.56 |
| M16 | Leicester · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +8.95 |
| M17 | Leeds · Home31 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.18 | +7.77 |
| M18 | Arsenal · Away3 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | +7.91 |
| M19 | Fulham · Home15 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +8.75 |
| M20 | Crystal Palace · Away21 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | +7.92 |
| M21 | West Ham · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | +6.94 |
| M22 | Bournemouth · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +5.92 |
| M23 | Liverpool · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | +4.50 |
| M24 | Manchester City · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | +3.85 |
| M25 | Wolverhampton · Home12 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +4.84 |
| M26 | Nottingham Forest · Away17 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +5.88 |
| M27 | Manchester United · Home2 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +7.37 |
| M28 | West Ham · Away5 Apr 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +8.80 |
| M29 | Brentford · Away8 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +10.05 |
| M30 | Aston Villa · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.65 | +8.40 |
| M31 | Tottenham · Home23 Apr 2023 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +9.64 |
| M32 | Everton · Away27 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +10.80 |
| M33 | Southampton · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +11.35 |
| M34 | Arsenal · Home7 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +9.84 |
| M35 | Leeds · Away13 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.99 | +8.85 |
| M36 | Brighton · Home18 May 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +10.01 |
| M37 | Leicester · Home22 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.37 | +8.65 |
| M38 | Chelsea · Away28 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +8.19 |
| Total | 71 | +8.19 | |||