Points
38Points expected by the market
33.68Gap
+4.32Yield
−0.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +101.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.81 | +20.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 19 | +0.22 | −12.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +101.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.40 | +10.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 15 | +7.54 | +136.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.41 | +58.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 4 | −7.32 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Newcastle · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.71 |
| M2 | West Ham · Home14 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +1.31 |
| M3 | Everton · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +1.37 |
| M4 | Tottenham · Home28 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | +0.75 |
| M5 | Manchester City · Away31 Aug 2022 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.19 | +0.56 |
| M6 | Bournemouth · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −1.05 |
| M7 | Fulham · Home16 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −2.36 |
| M8 | Leicester · Away3 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.21 |
| M9 | Aston Villa · Home10 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.24 |
| M10 | Wolverhampton · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −4.07 |
| M11 | Brighton · Away18 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.46 | −3.61 |
| M12 | Liverpool · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.50 | −1.11 |
| M13 | Arsenal · Away30 Oct 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.36 | −1.47 |
| M14 | Brentford · Home5 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.86 |
| M15 | Crystal Palace · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.03 |
| M16 | Manchester United · Away27 Dec 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.50 | −0.53 |
| M17 | Chelsea · Home1 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −0.26 |
| M18 | Southampton · Away4 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.54 |
| M19 | Leicester · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +3.18 |
| M20 | Bournemouth · Away21 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +2.79 |
| M21 | Leeds · Home5 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +4.47 |
| M22 | Fulham · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +3.51 |
| M23 | Manchester City · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.56 | +4.07 |
| M24 | West Ham · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.79 | +3.28 |
| M25 | Everton · Home5 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | +3.02 |
| M26 | Tottenham · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.59 | +2.43 |
| M27 | Newcastle · Home17 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +1.65 |
| M28 | Wolverhampton · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +1.47 |
| M29 | Leeds · Away4 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.66 |
| M30 | Aston Villa · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.05 |
| M31 | Manchester United · Home16 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −0.87 |
| M32 | Liverpool · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.29 | −1.17 |
| M33 | Brighton · Home26 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.25 | +1.09 |
| M34 | Brentford · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +0.26 |
| M35 | Southampton · Home8 May 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.55 |
| M36 | Chelsea · Away13 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.30 | +1.85 |
| M37 | Arsenal · Home20 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.22 | +4.07 |
| M38 | Crystal Palace · Away28 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | +4.32 |
| Total | 38 | +4.32 | |||