Points
25Points expected by the market
35.84Gap
−10.84Yield
−30.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 11 | −7.55 | −37.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 14 | −3.29 | −27.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 5 | −9.92 | −74.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | −0.42 | −35.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +2.37 | +101.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 8 | −2.87 | −23.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Tottenham · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.52 | −0.52 |
| M2 | Leeds · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.97 |
| M3 | Leicester · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +1.13 |
| M4 | Manchester United · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.10 |
| M5 | Chelsea · Home30 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.21 | +2.30 |
| M6 | Wolverhampton · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +1.20 |
| M7 | Aston Villa · Away16 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.13 |
| M8 | Everton · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.40 |
| M9 | Manchester City · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.23 | −1.63 |
| M10 | West Ham · Home16 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.89 |
| M11 | Bournemouth · Away19 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.22 |
| M12 | Arsenal · Home23 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.15 |
| M13 | Crystal Palace · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.90 |
| M14 | Newcastle · Home6 Nov 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.82 |
| M15 | Liverpool · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −2.25 |
| M16 | Brighton · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.32 |
| M17 | Fulham · Away31 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.24 |
| M18 | Nottingham Forest · Home4 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −5.75 |
| M19 | Everton · Away14 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.94 |
| M20 | Aston Villa · Home21 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −5.31 |
| M21 | Brentford · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −6.15 |
| M22 | Wolverhampton · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −7.37 |
| M23 | Chelsea · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.43 | −4.95 |
| M24 | Leeds · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.94 |
| M25 | Leicester · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −4.26 |
| M26 | Manchester United · Away12 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.58 | −3.68 |
| M27 | Brentford · Home15 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −4.87 |
| M28 | Tottenham · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.10 | −4.77 |
| M29 | West Ham · Away2 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −5.61 |
| M30 | Manchester City · Home8 Apr 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.39 | −6.00 |
| M31 | Crystal Palace · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −7.30 |
| M32 | Arsenal · Away21 Apr 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.66 | −6.64 |
| M33 | Bournemouth · Home27 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −8.08 |
| M34 | Newcastle · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.39 | −8.47 |
| M35 | Nottingham Forest · Away8 May 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.01 | −9.48 |
| M36 | Fulham · Home13 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −10.82 |
| M37 | Brighton · Away21 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.35 | −11.17 |
| M38 | Liverpool · Home28 May 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.32 | −10.84 |
| Total | 25 | −10.84 | |||