Points
60Points expected by the market
60.09Gap
−0.09Yield
−3.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.96 | +43.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 24 | −2.02 | −12.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +0.43 | +1.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.45 | −33.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.14 | +43.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | −0.70 | +4.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.43 | +13.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.95 | +99.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.33 | −35.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.01 | −6.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.40 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Southampton · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +0.70 |
| M2 | Chelsea · Away14 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.60 |
| M3 | Wolverhampton · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +1.40 |
| M4 | Nottingham Forest · Away28 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +2.22 |
| M5 | West Ham · Away31 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +1.64 |
| M6 | Fulham · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +2.53 |
| M7 | Leicester · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 6-2 | 3 | +0.88 | +3.41 |
| M8 | Arsenal · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +2.38 |
| M9 | Brighton · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.08 |
| M10 | Everton · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +4.91 |
| M11 | Manchester United · Away19 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +3.68 |
| M12 | Newcastle · Home23 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +2.11 |
| M13 | Bournemouth · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +3.20 |
| M14 | Liverpool · Home6 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +2.12 |
| M15 | Leeds · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.00 | +3.12 |
| M16 | Brentford · Away26 Dec 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.49 |
| M17 | Aston Villa · Home1 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.97 | +0.52 |
| M18 | Crystal Palace · Away4 Jan 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.95 |
| M19 | Arsenal · Home15 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.81 |
| M20 | Manchester City · Away19 Jan 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.15 |
| M21 | Fulham · Away23 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.54 |
| M22 | Manchester City · Home5 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +3.56 |
| M23 | Leicester · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.66 | +1.91 |
| M24 | West Ham · Home19 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +3.09 |
| M25 | Chelsea · Home26 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +4.82 |
| M26 | Wolverhampton · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +3.29 |
| M27 | Nottingham Forest · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.80 | +4.09 |
| M28 | Southampton · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.84 | +3.25 |
| M29 | Everton · Away3 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +2.58 |
| M30 | Brighton · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +4.26 |
| M31 | Bournemouth · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.13 | +2.13 |
| M32 | Newcastle · Away23 Apr 2023 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.98 | +1.15 |
| M33 | Manchester United · Home27 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.89 |
| M34 | Liverpool · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.74 | +0.15 |
| M35 | Crystal Palace · Home6 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.33 |
| M36 | Aston Villa · Away13 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +0.11 |
| M37 | Brentford · Home20 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.62 |
| M38 | Leeds · Away28 May 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.09 |
| Total | 60 | −0.09 | |||