Points
40Points expected by the market
47.93Gap
−7.93Yield
−32.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | −0.30 | +6.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −4.58 | −45.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −3.06 | −48.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +1.45 | +17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.75 | −56.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.58 | −10.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.75 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.83 | −36.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −3.64 | −63.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Manchester City · Home7 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −0.55 |
| M2 | Nottingham Forest · Away14 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.75 | −2.30 |
| M3 | Brighton · Home21 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −3.73 |
| M4 | Aston Villa · Away28 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −1.80 |
| M5 | Tottenham · Home31 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −1.95 |
| M6 | Chelsea · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −2.73 |
| M7 | Everton · Away18 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −4.16 |
| M8 | Wolverhampton · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −2.86 |
| M9 | Fulham · Home9 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | −1.86 |
| M10 | Southampton · Away16 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.31 |
| M11 | Liverpool · Away19 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.59 | −2.90 |
| M12 | Bournemouth · Home24 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | −1.94 |
| M13 | Manchester United · Away30 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.76 |
| M14 | Crystal Palace · Home6 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −4.57 |
| M15 | Leicester · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.66 | −6.23 |
| M16 | Arsenal · Away26 Dec 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −6.91 |
| M17 | Brentford · Home30 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.66 | −8.58 |
| M18 | Leeds · Away4 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −9.00 |
| M19 | Wolverhampton · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −10.25 |
| M20 | Everton · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −9.09 |
| M21 | Newcastle · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | −8.86 |
| M22 | Chelsea · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −8.98 |
| M23 | Tottenham · Away19 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −9.90 |
| M24 | Nottingham Forest · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −8.85 |
| M25 | Brighton · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.80 | −9.65 |
| M26 | Aston Villa · Home12 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −10.18 |
| M27 | Southampton · Home2 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −9.08 |
| M28 | Newcastle · Home5 Apr 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.13 | −10.21 |
| M29 | Fulham · Away8 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −8.64 |
| M30 | Arsenal · Home16 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.25 | −8.38 |
| M31 | Bournemouth · Away23 Apr 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −6.83 |
| M32 | Liverpool · Home26 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −7.88 |
| M33 | Crystal Palace · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −9.15 |
| M34 | Manchester City · Away3 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.30 | −9.45 |
| M35 | Manchester United · Home7 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −7.52 |
| M36 | Brentford · Away14 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −8.42 |
| M37 | Leeds · Home21 May 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −6.80 |
| M38 | Leicester · Away28 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −7.93 |
| Total | 40 | −7.93 | |||