Points
41Points expected by the market
42.88Gap
−1.88Yield
−14.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.61 | +29.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 28 | +3.37 | +8.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 7 | −5.86 | −47.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.61 | +29.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 18 | +4.02 | +40.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +0.93 | +49.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.66 | −31.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 1 | −6.78 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leeds · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.24 |
| M2 | Fulham · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −1.83 |
| M3 | Tottenham · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −2.43 |
| M4 | Newcastle · Home28 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −2.85 |
| M5 | Bournemouth · Away31 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −3.39 |
| M6 | Southampton · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −2.00 |
| M7 | Manchester City · Home17 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −2.49 |
| M8 | West Ham · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.51 |
| M9 | Chelsea · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −4.16 |
| M10 | Nottingham Forest · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −3.08 |
| M11 | Crystal Palace · Away18 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −4.12 |
| M12 | Leicester · Home23 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.51 | −5.63 |
| M13 | Brentford · Away29 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −5.75 |
| M14 | Brighton · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −6.85 |
| M15 | Arsenal · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.68 | −7.53 |
| M16 | Everton · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −5.79 |
| M17 | Manchester United · Home31 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −6.76 |
| M18 | Aston Villa · Away4 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −6.73 |
| M19 | West Ham · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −5.18 |
| M20 | Manchester City · Away22 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.40 | −5.58 |
| M21 | Liverpool · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −3.56 |
| M22 | Southampton · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −2.03 |
| M23 | Bournemouth · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.85 | −3.89 |
| M24 | Fulham · Away24 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.18 |
| M25 | Liverpool · Away1 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −4.84 |
| M26 | Tottenham · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −3.02 |
| M27 | Newcastle · Away12 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −3.77 |
| M28 | Leeds · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.52 | −5.29 |
| M29 | Nottingham Forest · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −5.80 |
| M30 | Chelsea · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | −3.65 |
| M31 | Brentford · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −1.98 |
| M32 | Leicester · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.20 |
| M33 | Crystal Palace · Home25 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.76 |
| M34 | Brighton · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.47 |
| M35 | Aston Villa · Home6 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −0.69 |
| M36 | Manchester United · Away13 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.23 |
| M37 | Everton · Home20 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.43 |
| M38 | Arsenal · Away28 May 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.45 | −1.88 |
| Total | 41 | −1.88 | |||