Points
89Points expected by the market
81.22Gap
+7.78Yield
+7.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 21 | 55 | +3.56 | +7.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 25 | +3.32 | +19.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +0.96 | +4.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 37 | +0.17 | +0.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.16 | −11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.17 | +160.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 18 | +3.39 | +27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +3.17 | +26.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.22 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nottingham Forest · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.44 | +0.44 |
| M2 | Crystal Palace · Away21 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +1.64 |
| M3 | Fulham · Home26 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.42 | +0.22 |
| M4 | Manchester United · Home3 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.36 |
| M5 | Everton · Away17 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +2.30 |
| M6 | Tottenham · Home24 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | +1.32 |
| M7 | Bournemouth · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +2.22 |
| M8 | Manchester City · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +3.96 |
| M9 | Chelsea · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | +3.42 |
| M10 | Sheffield United · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.33 | +3.76 |
| M11 | Newcastle · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +2.38 |
| M12 | Burnley · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.45 | +2.83 |
| M13 | Brentford · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +3.81 |
| M14 | Wolverhampton · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.52 | +4.33 |
| M15 | Luton · Away5 Dec 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.45 | +4.78 |
| M16 | Aston Villa · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | +3.10 |
| M17 | Brighton · Home17 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +3.94 |
| M18 | Liverpool · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +3.64 |
| M19 | West Ham · Home28 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.39 | +1.25 |
| M20 | Fulham · Away31 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.06 | −0.81 |
| M21 | Crystal Palace · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.56 | −0.25 |
| M22 | Nottingham Forest · Away30 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +0.46 |
| M23 | Liverpool · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.89 |
| M24 | West Ham · Away11 Feb 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +2.79 |
| M25 | Burnley · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +3.39 |
| M26 | Newcastle · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.69 | +4.08 |
| M27 | Sheffield United · Away4 Mar 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +4.51 |
| M28 | Brentford · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.48 | +5.00 |
| M29 | Manchester City · Away31 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +4.93 |
| M30 | Luton · Home3 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.35 | +5.28 |
| M31 | Brighton · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +6.15 |
| M32 | Aston Villa · Home14 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.43 | +3.72 |
| M33 | Wolverhampton · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +4.29 |
| M34 | Chelsea · Home23 Apr 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +5.03 |
| M35 | Tottenham · Away28 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.11 | +6.15 |
| M36 | Bournemouth · Home4 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +6.65 |
| M37 | Manchester United · Away12 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +7.28 |
| M38 | Everton · Home19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.49 | +7.78 |
| Total | 89 | +7.78 | |||