Points
68Points expected by the market
57.27Gap
+10.73Yield
+42.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | −0.07 | −8.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 31 | +1.77 | −2.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 17 | +2.99 | +18.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 13 | +6.04 | +164.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | −0.07 | −8.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 23 | +2.70 | +11.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.18 | +25.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 7 | +4.19 | +193.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.93 | −33.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +2.82 | +17.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +1.85 | +150.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Newcastle · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.79 |
| M2 | Everton · Home20 Aug 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +0.39 |
| M3 | Burnley · Away27 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.83 |
| M4 | Liverpool · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.79 | +1.04 |
| M5 | Crystal Palace · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.29 |
| M6 | Chelsea · Away24 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +4.34 |
| M7 | Brighton · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +5.92 |
| M8 | Wolverhampton · Away8 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +5.25 |
| M9 | West Ham · Home22 Oct 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +6.41 |
| M10 | Luton · Home29 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +7.09 |
| M11 | Nottingham Forest · Away5 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.75 | +5.34 |
| M12 | Fulham · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +6.36 |
| M13 | Tottenham · Away26 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +7.98 |
| M14 | Bournemouth · Away3 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | +7.37 |
| M15 | Manchester City · Home6 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | +9.59 |
| M16 | Arsenal · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +11.53 |
| M17 | Brentford · Away17 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +12.99 |
| M18 | Sheffield United · Home22 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.50 | +11.49 |
| M19 | Manchester United · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.25 | +10.24 |
| M20 | Burnley · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.75 | +10.99 |
| M21 | Everton · Away14 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +10.67 |
| M22 | Newcastle · Home30 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.78 | +8.89 |
| M23 | Sheffield United · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +9.90 |
| M24 | Manchester United · Home11 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +8.32 |
| M25 | Fulham · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +9.81 |
| M26 | Nottingham Forest · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.96 | +10.77 |
| M27 | Luton · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.08 | +11.85 |
| M28 | Tottenham · Home10 Mar 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.41 | +10.44 |
| M29 | West Ham · Away17 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +10.14 |
| M30 | Wolverhampton · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +11.05 |
| M31 | Manchester City · Away3 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.37 | +10.68 |
| M32 | Brentford · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.98 | +9.69 |
| M33 | Arsenal · Away14 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.58 | +12.28 |
| M34 | Bournemouth · Home21 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +13.49 |
| M35 | Chelsea · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +12.85 |
| M36 | Brighton · Away5 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +11.53 |
| M37 | Liverpool · Home13 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.04 | +11.56 |
| M38 | Crystal Palace · Away19 May 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.83 | +10.73 |
| Total | 68 | +10.73 | |||