Points
39Points expected by the market
47.35Gap
−8.35Yield
−32.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −1.32 | −19.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 17 | −2.70 | −22.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 4 | −5.20 | −58.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +0.56 | −9.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 4 | −5.05 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.87 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.35 | +44.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −3.10 | −46.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Tottenham · Home13 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.38 |
| M2 | Fulham · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.24 |
| M3 | Crystal Palace · Home26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +0.61 |
| M4 | Bournemouth · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | −0.30 |
| M5 | Newcastle · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.07 |
| M6 | Everton · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.77 | −2.84 |
| M7 | Nottingham Forest · Away1 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −3.15 |
| M8 | Manchester United · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −3.94 |
| M9 | Burnley · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −2.85 |
| M10 | Chelsea · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.23 | −0.62 |
| M11 | West Ham · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.77 |
| M12 | Liverpool · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | +0.21 |
| M13 | Arsenal · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −0.53 |
| M14 | Luton · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.37 |
| M15 | Brighton · Away6 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.52 |
| M16 | Sheffield United · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | −2.39 |
| M17 | Aston Villa · Home17 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −3.58 |
| M18 | Wolverhampton · Home27 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.58 | −5.16 |
| M19 | Crystal Palace · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.22 |
| M20 | Nottingham Forest · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.13 | −5.09 |
| M21 | Tottenham · Away31 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −5.89 |
| M22 | Manchester City · Home5 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −6.43 |
| M23 | Wolverhampton · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −4.58 |
| M24 | Liverpool · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −5.40 |
| M25 | Manchester City · Away20 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.33 | −5.72 |
| M26 | West Ham · Away26 Feb 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.23 | −6.96 |
| M27 | Chelsea · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −7.11 |
| M28 | Arsenal · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.35 | −7.46 |
| M29 | Burnley · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −9.00 |
| M30 | Manchester United · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −9.12 |
| M31 | Brighton · Home3 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −9.54 |
| M32 | Aston Villa · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.21 | −9.32 |
| M33 | Sheffield United · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | −8.45 |
| M34 | Luton · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −6.92 |
| M35 | Everton · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −8.35 |
| M36 | Fulham · Home4 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −8.99 |
| M37 | Bournemouth · Away11 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −7.13 |
| M38 | Newcastle · Home19 May 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.22 | −8.35 |
| Total | 39 | −8.35 | |||