Points
48Points expected by the market
55.53Gap
−7.53Yield
−35.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.84 | −36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 26 | −0.94 | −12.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | −1.41 | −21.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 1 | −4.33 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.84 | −36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −1.89 | −26.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.20 | +25.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +0.95 | +11.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.61 | −57.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −3.13 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Luton · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.59 | +0.59 |
| M2 | Wolverhampton · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +1.75 |
| M3 | West Ham · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.11 | −0.36 |
| M4 | Newcastle · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.26 |
| M5 | Manchester United · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +3.18 |
| M6 | Bournemouth · Home24 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +4.06 |
| M7 | Aston Villa · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.33 | +2.73 |
| M8 | Liverpool · Home8 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | +2.61 |
| M9 | Manchester City · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +2.07 |
| M10 | Fulham · Home29 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +1.06 |
| M11 | Everton · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.62 |
| M12 | Sheffield United · Home12 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.42 | −0.80 |
| M13 | Nottingham Forest · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.53 |
| M14 | Chelsea · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.26 |
| M15 | Brentford · Home6 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +0.87 |
| M16 | Burnley · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −0.23 |
| M17 | Arsenal · Away17 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −0.87 |
| M18 | Crystal Palace · Away21 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −1.41 |
| M19 | Tottenham · Home28 Dec 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.19 |
| M20 | West Ham · Away2 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.33 |
| M21 | Wolverhampton · Home22 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.96 | −1.30 |
| M22 | Luton · Away30 Jan 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.84 | −3.14 |
| M23 | Crystal Palace · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.07 | −2.07 |
| M24 | Tottenham · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −2.99 |
| M25 | Sheffield United · Away18 Feb 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −1.94 |
| M26 | Everton · Home24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −2.72 |
| M27 | Fulham · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.05 |
| M28 | Nottingham Forest · Home10 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −3.03 |
| M29 | Liverpool · Away31 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.48 | −3.50 |
| M30 | Brentford · Away3 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.83 |
| M31 | Arsenal · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.67 | −4.50 |
| M32 | Burnley · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −5.26 |
| M33 | Manchester City · Home25 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −5.80 |
| M34 | Bournemouth · Away28 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.86 |
| M35 | Aston Villa · Home5 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −5.29 |
| M36 | Newcastle · Away11 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −5.07 |
| M37 | Chelsea · Home15 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.19 |
| M38 | Manchester United · Home19 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −7.53 |
| Total | 48 | −7.53 | |||