Points
24Points expected by the market
35.26Gap
−11.26Yield
−60.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.47 | −12.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −3.82 | −30.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 9 | −7.90 | −78.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.47 | −12.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 5 | −5.92 | −65.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 1 | −5.31 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +2.10 | +75.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 8 | −2.59 | −68.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Manchester City · Home11 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −0.49 |
| M2 | Aston Villa · Home27 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.66 |
| M3 | Tottenham · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.70 |
| M4 | Nottingham Forest · Away18 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −2.78 |
| M5 | Manchester United · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −3.72 |
| M6 | Newcastle · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.53 | −4.25 |
| M7 | Luton · Away3 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −2.66 |
| M8 | Chelsea · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.80 | −3.46 |
| M9 | Brentford · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −4.30 |
| M10 | Bournemouth · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −5.43 |
| M11 | Crystal Palace · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.60 |
| M12 | Arsenal · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.32 | −6.91 |
| M13 | West Ham · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −8.03 |
| M14 | Sheffield United · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −6.95 |
| M15 | Wolverhampton · Away5 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −7.91 |
| M16 | Brighton · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.32 | −7.59 |
| M17 | Everton · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −8.74 |
| M18 | Fulham · Away23 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.18 | −6.56 |
| M19 | Liverpool · Home26 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −7.12 |
| M20 | Aston Villa · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −7.69 |
| M21 | Luton · Home12 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −8.31 |
| M22 | Manchester City · Away31 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.22 | −8.52 |
| M23 | Fulham · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −8.81 |
| M24 | Liverpool · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.29 | −9.10 |
| M25 | Arsenal · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.44 | −9.54 |
| M26 | Crystal Palace · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −10.54 |
| M27 | Bournemouth · Home3 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −11.58 |
| M28 | West Ham · Away10 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.22 | −11.36 |
| M29 | Brentford · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −9.55 |
| M30 | Chelsea · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.58 | −8.98 |
| M31 | Wolverhampton · Home2 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −9.48 |
| M32 | Everton · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −10.34 |
| M33 | Brighton · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −10.34 |
| M34 | Sheffield United · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −8.70 |
| M35 | Manchester United · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.30 | −8.40 |
| M36 | Newcastle · Home4 May 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −9.50 |
| M37 | Tottenham · Away11 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.51 | −10.01 |
| M38 | Nottingham Forest · Home19 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −11.26 |
| Total | 24 | −11.26 | |||