Points
49Points expected by the market
44.73Gap
+4.27Yield
+13.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +5.38 | +34.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.31 | +10.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 11 | −3.43 | +2.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 20 | +5.72 | +41.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | −0.45 | −11.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −3.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.34 | +8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.76 | +53.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 11 | +0.37 | +39.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sheffield United · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.36 |
| M2 | Arsenal · Home21 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | +0.44 |
| M3 | Brentford · Away26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.36 |
| M4 | Wolverhampton · Home3 Sep 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.57 |
| M5 | Aston Villa · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | +0.59 |
| M6 | Fulham · Home23 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.09 |
| M7 | Manchester United · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.30 | +2.21 |
| M8 | Nottingham Forest · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +1.65 |
| M9 | Newcastle · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.59 | +1.06 |
| M10 | Tottenham · Home27 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.17 |
| M11 | Burnley · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.64 |
| M12 | Everton · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.23 |
| M13 | Luton · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −1.47 |
| M14 | West Ham · Away3 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −1.44 |
| M15 | Bournemouth · Home6 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.98 |
| M16 | Liverpool · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −3.63 |
| M17 | Manchester City · Away16 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.71 | −2.92 |
| M18 | Brighton · Home21 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −3.09 |
| M19 | Chelsea · Away27 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −3.96 |
| M20 | Brentford · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −2.62 |
| M21 | Arsenal · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.39 | −3.01 |
| M22 | Sheffield United · Home30 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.97 | −2.05 |
| M23 | Brighton · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.81 | −2.86 |
| M24 | Chelsea · Home12 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.69 |
| M25 | Everton · Away19 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −3.54 |
| M26 | Burnley · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −2.26 |
| M27 | Tottenham · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.70 | −2.96 |
| M28 | Luton · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −3.74 |
| M29 | Nottingham Forest · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −3.89 |
| M30 | Bournemouth · Away2 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.86 |
| M31 | Manchester City · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.51 | −5.37 |
| M32 | Liverpool · Away14 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.66 | −2.71 |
| M33 | West Ham · Home21 Apr 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.27 |
| M34 | Newcastle · Home24 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.53 |
| M35 | Fulham · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.45 |
| M36 | Manchester United · Home6 May 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.78 |
| M37 | Wolverhampton · Away11 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +3.22 |
| M38 | Aston Villa · Home19 May 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +4.27 |
| Total | 49 | +4.27 | |||