Points
48Points expected by the market
46.93Gap
+1.07Yield
+2.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −2.14 | −26.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 27 | +2.44 | +3.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 11 | −0.02 | +7.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −2.14 | −26.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +1.31 | +8.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.96 | +147.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.13 | −1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −0.98 | −30.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fulham · Home12 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.53 |
| M2 | Aston Villa · Away20 Aug 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.47 |
| M3 | Wolverhampton · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −3.94 |
| M4 | Sheffield United · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | −4.45 |
| M5 | Arsenal · Home17 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −5.17 |
| M6 | Brentford · Away23 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.04 | −3.13 |
| M7 | Luton · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.00 | −5.13 |
| M8 | Bournemouth · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −3.90 |
| M9 | Liverpool · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −4.46 |
| M10 | West Ham · Away29 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −2.55 |
| M11 | Brighton · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −2.84 |
| M12 | Crystal Palace · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | −1.12 |
| M13 | Manchester United · Home26 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −2.47 |
| M14 | Nottingham Forest · Away2 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −0.85 |
| M15 | Newcastle · Home7 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +0.96 |
| M16 | Chelsea · Home10 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.55 |
| M17 | Burnley · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.98 |
| M18 | Tottenham · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +3.12 |
| M19 | Manchester City · Home27 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | +2.37 |
| M20 | Wolverhampton · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.97 |
| M21 | Aston Villa · Home14 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.56 |
| M22 | Fulham · Away30 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.43 |
| M23 | Tottenham · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.25 |
| M24 | Manchester City · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −0.14 |
| M25 | Crystal Palace · Home19 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | −1.01 |
| M26 | Brighton · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.97 |
| M27 | West Ham · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −2.60 |
| M28 | Manchester United · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.57 |
| M29 | Bournemouth · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.74 |
| M30 | Newcastle · Away2 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −4.80 |
| M31 | Burnley · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −3.68 |
| M32 | Chelsea · Away15 Apr 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.82 | −4.51 |
| M33 | Nottingham Forest · Home21 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −3.07 |
| M34 | Liverpool · Home24 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.43 | −0.64 |
| M35 | Brentford · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.07 |
| M36 | Luton · Away3 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.64 |
| M37 | Sheffield United · Home11 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +1.43 |
| M38 | Arsenal · Away19 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.36 | +1.07 |
| Total | 48 | +1.07 | |||