Points
47Points expected by the market
45.33Gap
+1.67Yield
−1.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.11 | +5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +1.45 | +12.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 9 | −0.90 | −22.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +0.60 | +3.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +1.10 | +18.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +1.05 | +97.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.51 | +9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.36 | +2.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 6 | −1.94 | −54.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Everton · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.83 |
| M2 | Brentford · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.50 |
| M3 | Arsenal · Away26 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.58 | +1.08 |
| M4 | Manchester City · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.31 | +0.77 |
| M5 | Luton · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +1.79 |
| M6 | Crystal Palace · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | +1.75 |
| M7 | Chelsea · Home2 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.63 |
| M8 | Sheffield United · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +1.51 |
| M9 | Tottenham · Away23 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +0.84 |
| M10 | Brighton · Away29 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | +1.08 |
| M11 | Manchester United · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.16 |
| M12 | Aston Villa · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.94 |
| M13 | Wolverhampton · Home27 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.56 |
| M14 | Liverpool · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.39 | +0.17 |
| M15 | Nottingham Forest · Home6 Dec 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.46 |
| M16 | West Ham · Home10 Dec 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +2.89 |
| M17 | Newcastle · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +1.93 |
| M18 | Burnley · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.93 | −0.01 |
| M19 | Bournemouth · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.03 |
| M20 | Arsenal · Home31 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.28 | +1.26 |
| M21 | Chelsea · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | +0.48 |
| M22 | Everton · Home30 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.10 |
| M23 | Burnley · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.53 |
| M24 | Bournemouth · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.07 |
| M25 | Aston Villa · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.16 |
| M26 | Manchester United · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.20 | +2.04 |
| M27 | Brighton · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +3.63 |
| M28 | Wolverhampton · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +2.35 |
| M29 | Tottenham · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +4.24 |
| M30 | Sheffield United · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.92 | +3.32 |
| M31 | Nottingham Forest · Away2 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +1.94 |
| M32 | Newcastle · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | +0.50 |
| M33 | West Ham · Away14 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +2.22 |
| M34 | Liverpool · Home21 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +1.38 |
| M35 | Crystal Palace · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.73 |
| M36 | Brentford · Away4 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.63 |
| M37 | Manchester City · Home11 May 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.39 | +0.23 |
| M38 | Luton · Away19 May 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.67 |
| Total | 47 | +1.67 | |||