Points
26Points expected by the market
30.96Gap
−4.96Yield
−31.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.93 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −2.86 | −56.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 30 | 20 | −0.18 | −23.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.93 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 3 | −4.62 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 13 | +4.30 | +43.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.76 | +207.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 7 | −4.48 | −68.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brighton · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.42 | −0.42 |
| M2 | Chelsea · Away25 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.40 | −0.82 |
| M3 | West Ham · Home1 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.68 |
| M4 | Fulham · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −2.44 |
| M5 | Wolverhampton · Home23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.64 |
| M6 | Everton · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.25 | −0.39 |
| M7 | Burnley · Home3 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.68 |
| M8 | Tottenham · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | −2.29 |
| M9 | Nottingham Forest · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.19 | −2.10 |
| M10 | Aston Villa · Away29 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −2.61 |
| M11 | Liverpool · Home5 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.66 | −1.95 |
| M12 | Manchester United · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | −2.40 |
| M13 | Crystal Palace · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | −0.41 |
| M14 | Brentford · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.67 | −1.09 |
| M15 | Arsenal · Home5 Dec 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.31 | −1.40 |
| M16 | Manchester City · Home10 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.32 | −1.72 |
| M17 | Newcastle · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | +0.51 |
| M18 | Sheffield United · Away26 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.27 |
| M19 | Chelsea · Home30 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.74 | +1.53 |
| M20 | Burnley · Away12 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +1.43 |
| M21 | Brighton · Home30 Jan 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +3.51 |
| M22 | Newcastle · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.30 | +3.81 |
| M23 | Sheffield United · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.93 | +1.88 |
| M24 | Manchester United · Home18 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +0.95 |
| M25 | Liverpool · Away21 Feb 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.43 | +0.52 |
| M26 | Aston Villa · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −0.34 |
| M27 | Crystal Palace · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −0.30 |
| M28 | Bournemouth · Away13 Mar 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.01 |
| M29 | Nottingham Forest · Home16 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.38 |
| M30 | Tottenham · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −1.75 |
| M31 | Arsenal · Away3 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.25 | −2.00 |
| M32 | Bournemouth · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | −0.01 |
| M33 | Manchester City · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.20 | −0.21 |
| M34 | Brentford · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.48 |
| M35 | Wolverhampton · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.47 |
| M36 | Everton · Home3 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −2.78 |
| M37 | West Ham · Away11 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −3.77 |
| M38 | Fulham · Home19 May 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.19 | −4.96 |
| Total | 26 | −4.96 | |||