Points
60Points expected by the market
57.87Gap
+2.13Yield
−4.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.27 | +32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 18 | −6.14 | −32.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 25 | +8.88 | +73.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −3.88 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.55 | +30.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 11 | −6.26 | −43.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.89 | +161.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.71 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.12 | −9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 16 | +3.99 | +44.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −2.86 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wolverhampton · Home14 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.58 | +0.58 |
| M2 | Tottenham · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −0.96 |
| M3 | Nottingham Forest · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.71 | −0.24 |
| M4 | Arsenal · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.15 |
| M5 | Brighton · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −2.83 |
| M6 | Burnley · Away23 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −1.64 |
| M7 | Crystal Palace · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.07 | −3.71 |
| M8 | Brentford · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.03 | −2.69 |
| M9 | Sheffield United · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.71 | −1.97 |
| M10 | Manchester City · Home29 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −2.73 |
| M11 | Fulham · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.22 |
| M12 | Luton · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.61 | −0.61 |
| M13 | Everton · Away26 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.02 |
| M14 | Newcastle · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.02 |
| M15 | Chelsea · Home6 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.67 |
| M16 | Bournemouth · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.96 | −0.28 |
| M17 | Liverpool · Away17 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.47 | +0.19 |
| M18 | West Ham · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.98 |
| M19 | Aston Villa · Home26 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.53 |
| M20 | Nottingham Forest · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −1.06 |
| M21 | Tottenham · Home14 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −1.71 |
| M22 | Wolverhampton · Away1 Feb 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.17 |
| M23 | West Ham · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +0.75 |
| M24 | Aston Villa · Away11 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +2.58 |
| M25 | Luton · Away18 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +3.75 |
| M26 | Fulham · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.97 | +1.77 |
| M27 | Manchester City · Away3 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.42 | +1.35 |
| M28 | Everton · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.58 |
| M29 | Brentford · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +1.94 |
| M30 | Chelsea · Away4 Apr 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.98 |
| M31 | Liverpool · Home7 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.21 | +1.18 |
| M32 | Bournemouth · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.88 |
| M33 | Sheffield United · Home24 Apr 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.65 | +1.53 |
| M34 | Burnley · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.11 | +0.42 |
| M35 | Crystal Palace · Away6 May 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −0.66 |
| M36 | Arsenal · Home12 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.47 | −1.14 |
| M37 | Newcastle · Home15 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.55 |
| M38 | Brighton · Away19 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.13 |
| Total | 60 | +2.13 | |||