Points
60Points expected by the market
60.56Gap
−0.56Yield
−1.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | −0.20 | +1.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 33 | +1.82 | −3.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | −0.39 | +19.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −1.79 | −35.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | −0.20 | +1.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +3.38 | +7.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 9 | +3.44 | +103.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.82 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −1.55 | −18.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −3.84 | −28.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.97 | −22.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aston Villa · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.02 |
| M2 | Manchester City · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.10 |
| M3 | Liverpool · Home27 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.45 |
| M4 | Brighton · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.82 |
| M5 | Brentford · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −1.81 |
| M6 | Sheffield United · Away24 Sep 2023 | W 8-0 | 3 | +0.90 | −0.91 |
| M7 | Burnley · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.72 | −0.19 |
| M8 | West Ham · Away8 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.81 |
| M9 | Crystal Palace · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.81 | −0.01 |
| M10 | Wolverhampton · Away28 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | −0.82 |
| M11 | Arsenal · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.85 |
| M12 | Bournemouth · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −0.90 |
| M13 | Chelsea · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.75 |
| M14 | Manchester United · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +2.05 |
| M15 | Everton · Away7 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.52 |
| M16 | Tottenham · Away10 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.60 |
| M17 | Fulham · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +0.62 |
| M18 | Luton · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.00 | −1.37 |
| M19 | Nottingham Forest · Home26 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.24 | −3.61 |
| M20 | Liverpool · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.56 | −4.17 |
| M21 | Manchester City · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −4.99 |
| M22 | Aston Villa · Away30 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −2.97 |
| M23 | Luton · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | −1.09 | −4.07 |
| M24 | Nottingham Forest · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.40 | −2.67 |
| M25 | Bournemouth · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | −3.36 |
| M26 | Arsenal · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.52 | −3.88 |
| M27 | Wolverhampton · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −2.77 |
| M28 | Chelsea · Away11 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.75 |
| M29 | West Ham · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.21 | −2.54 |
| M30 | Everton · Home2 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −3.23 |
| M31 | Fulham · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −1.52 |
| M32 | Tottenham · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.14 |
| M33 | Crystal Palace · Away24 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −1.40 |
| M34 | Sheffield United · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.51 | −0.88 |
| M35 | Burnley · Away4 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.45 |
| M36 | Brighton · Home11 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | −0.57 |
| M37 | Manchester United · Away15 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −2.02 |
| M38 | Brentford · Away19 May 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.46 | −0.56 |
| Total | 60 | −0.56 | |||