Points
36Points expected by the market
39.67Gap
−3.67Yield
−11.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.04 | −27.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | +0.11 | −12.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 11 | −3.82 | −6.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −1.01 | −51.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.25 | +2.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −2.53 | −44.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.05 | +68.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.15 | −42.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −1.28 | +11.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arsenal · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.31 | −0.31 |
| M2 | Sheffield United · Home18 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.91 |
| M3 | Manchester United · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.53 | +0.38 |
| M4 | Chelsea · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.45 | +2.83 |
| M5 | Burnley · Home18 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.18 |
| M6 | Manchester City · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.27 | +1.91 |
| M7 | Brentford · Home1 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +1.52 |
| M8 | Crystal Palace · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +1.38 |
| M9 | Luton · Home21 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.93 | +0.45 |
| M10 | Liverpool · Away29 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.38 | +0.08 |
| M11 | Aston Villa · Home5 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +2.08 |
| M12 | West Ham · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +1.19 |
| M13 | Brighton · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.13 |
| M14 | Everton · Home2 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −1.20 |
| M15 | Fulham · Away6 Dec 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.21 |
| M16 | Wolverhampton · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −2.13 |
| M17 | Tottenham · Home15 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.93 |
| M18 | Bournemouth · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −4.22 |
| M19 | Newcastle · Away26 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.43 | −1.79 |
| M20 | Manchester United · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +0.06 |
| M21 | Brentford · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.81 |
| M22 | Arsenal · Home30 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −1.33 |
| M23 | Bournemouth · Away4 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −1.14 |
| M24 | Newcastle · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.29 |
| M25 | West Ham · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −0.83 |
| M26 | Aston Villa · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.58 |
| M27 | Liverpool · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −2.35 |
| M28 | Brighton · Away10 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −3.14 |
| M29 | Luton · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −3.50 |
| M30 | Crystal Palace · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −4.06 |
| M31 | Fulham · Home2 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −2.41 |
| M32 | Tottenham · Away7 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −3.03 |
| M33 | Wolverhampton · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | −3.70 |
| M34 | Everton · Away21 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.84 |
| M35 | Manchester City · Home28 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.44 | −5.28 |
| M36 | Sheffield United · Away4 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −4.23 |
| M37 | Chelsea · Home11 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −5.17 |
| M38 | Burnley · Away19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −3.67 |
| Total | 36 | −3.67 | |||