Points
16Points expected by the market
25.98Gap
−9.98Yield
−64.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 2 | −4.47 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 33 | 14 | −5.52 | −58.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 2 | −4.47 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −1.50 | −37.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 6 | −4.01 | −74.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crystal Palace · Home12 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.06 |
| M2 | Nottingham Forest · Away18 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.01 |
| M3 | Manchester City · Home27 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.33 | −2.34 |
| M4 | Everton · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.54 |
| M5 | Tottenham · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −3.00 |
| M6 | Newcastle · Home24 Sep 2023 | L 0-8 | 0 | −0.68 | −3.68 |
| M7 | West Ham · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −4.27 |
| M8 | Fulham · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −4.93 |
| M9 | Manchester United · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −5.47 |
| M10 | Arsenal · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.23 | −5.70 |
| M11 | Wolverhampton · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | −3.67 |
| M12 | Brighton · Away12 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.58 | −3.09 |
| M13 | Bournemouth · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −4.21 |
| M14 | Burnley · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.83 | −5.04 |
| M15 | Liverpool · Home6 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.32 | −5.36 |
| M16 | Brentford · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | −3.24 |
| M17 | Chelsea · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.33 | −3.56 |
| M18 | Aston Villa · Away22 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.64 | −2.92 |
| M19 | Luton · Home26 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −4.39 |
| M20 | Manchester City · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.17 | −4.56 |
| M21 | West Ham · Home21 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −4.87 |
| M22 | Crystal Palace · Away30 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −5.59 |
| M23 | Aston Villa · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.79 | −6.37 |
| M24 | Luton · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.17 | −4.21 |
| M25 | Brighton · Home18 Feb 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.83 | −5.03 |
| M26 | Wolverhampton · Away25 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | −5.67 |
| M27 | Arsenal · Home4 Mar 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.30 | −5.97 |
| M28 | Bournemouth · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.49 | −5.48 |
| M29 | Fulham · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.16 | −5.32 |
| M30 | Liverpool · Away4 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.17 | −5.49 |
| M31 | Chelsea · Home7 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.38 | −5.11 |
| M32 | Brentford · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −5.78 |
| M33 | Burnley · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.37 | −7.15 |
| M34 | Manchester United · Away24 Apr 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.50 | −7.64 |
| M35 | Newcastle · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.38 | −8.02 |
| M36 | Nottingham Forest · Home4 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −8.85 |
| M37 | Everton · Away11 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −9.45 |
| M38 | Tottenham · Home19 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −9.98 |
| Total | 16 | −9.98 | |||