Points
66Points expected by the market
61.60Gap
+4.40Yield
−5.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 18 | +4.08 | +34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 34 | +5.94 | +29.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 12 | −4.30 | −28.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −1.32 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.57 | +31.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +3.48 | +32.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.69 | +49.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.47 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.50 | +39.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.46 | +24.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −4.99 | −67.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | +0.15 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brentford · Away13 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.34 |
| M2 | Manchester United · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.45 |
| M3 | Bournemouth · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.78 |
| M4 | Burnley · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.30 | +4.07 |
| M5 | Sheffield United · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.61 | +4.68 |
| M6 | Arsenal · Away24 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | +4.89 |
| M7 | Liverpool · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +6.66 |
| M8 | Luton · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +7.47 |
| M9 | Fulham · Home23 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +8.34 |
| M10 | Crystal Palace · Away27 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +9.48 |
| M11 | Chelsea · Home6 Nov 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.51 | +7.96 |
| M12 | Wolverhampton · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +6.43 |
| M13 | Aston Villa · Home26 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +5.07 |
| M14 | Manchester City · Away3 Dec 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.59 | +5.66 |
| M15 | West Ham · Home7 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.95 | +3.71 |
| M16 | Newcastle · Home10 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +5.08 |
| M17 | Nottingham Forest · Away15 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +6.11 |
| M18 | Everton · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +7.19 |
| M19 | Brighton · Away28 Dec 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.34 | +5.85 |
| M20 | Bournemouth · Home31 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +7.00 |
| M21 | Manchester United · Away14 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +6.90 |
| M22 | Brentford · Home31 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.01 | +7.91 |
| M23 | Everton · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | +7.35 |
| M24 | Brighton · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +8.48 |
| M25 | Wolverhampton · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.09 | +6.39 |
| M26 | Crystal Palace · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +7.30 |
| M27 | Aston Villa · Away10 Mar 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +8.95 |
| M28 | Fulham · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.65 | +7.30 |
| M29 | Luton · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.50 | +7.80 |
| M30 | West Ham · Away2 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +7.12 |
| M31 | Nottingham Forest · Home7 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.80 | +7.92 |
| M32 | Newcastle · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.42 | +6.50 |
| M33 | Arsenal · Home28 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +5.62 |
| M34 | Chelsea · Away2 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +4.27 |
| M35 | Liverpool · Away5 May 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.64 | +3.63 |
| M36 | Burnley · Home11 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +4.29 |
| M37 | Manchester City · Home14 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.59 | +3.70 |
| M38 | Sheffield United · Away19 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +4.40 |
| Total | 66 | +4.40 | |||