Points
52Points expected by the market
46.57Gap
+5.43Yield
+19.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 20 | +4.14 | +30.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −1.36 | −27.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | +1.85 | +73.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.65 | +11.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.60 | −29.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.17 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.49 | +95.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −1.96 | −25.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +3.02 | +131.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bournemouth · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.39 |
| M2 | Chelsea · Home20 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.47 |
| M3 | Brighton · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.31 | +3.78 |
| M4 | Luton · Away1 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.87 |
| M5 | Manchester City · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | +4.13 |
| M6 | Liverpool · Away24 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.54 | +3.58 |
| M7 | Sheffield United · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +4.38 |
| M8 | Newcastle · Home8 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | +4.26 |
| M9 | Aston Villa · Away22 Oct 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.91 | +3.35 |
| M10 | Everton · Home29 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | +1.69 |
| M11 | Brentford · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.56 |
| M12 | Nottingham Forest · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.70 |
| M13 | Burnley · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.10 |
| M14 | Crystal Palace · Home3 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +2.35 |
| M15 | Tottenham · Away7 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | +4.52 |
| M16 | Fulham · Away10 Dec 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.16 | +3.36 |
| M17 | Wolverhampton · Home17 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +4.62 |
| M18 | Manchester United · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +6.04 |
| M19 | Arsenal · Away28 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.55 | +8.60 |
| M20 | Brighton · Home2 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +8.38 |
| M21 | Sheffield United · Away21 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | +7.97 |
| M22 | Bournemouth · Home1 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +7.51 |
| M23 | Manchester United · Away4 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | +6.80 |
| M24 | Arsenal · Home11 Feb 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.68 | +6.13 |
| M25 | Nottingham Forest · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +4.94 |
| M26 | Brentford · Home26 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.50 | +6.45 |
| M27 | Everton · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +8.34 |
| M28 | Burnley · Home10 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | +7.36 |
| M29 | Aston Villa · Home17 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +6.92 |
| M30 | Newcastle · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.98 | +5.94 |
| M31 | Tottenham · Home2 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +5.86 |
| M32 | Wolverhampton · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +7.43 |
| M33 | Fulham · Home14 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +5.98 |
| M34 | Crystal Palace · Away21 Apr 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.16 | +4.82 |
| M35 | Liverpool · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.25 | +5.07 |
| M36 | Chelsea · Away5 May 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.70 | +4.37 |
| M37 | Luton · Home11 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +5.60 |
| M38 | Manchester City · Away19 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.17 | +5.43 |
| Total | 52 | +5.43 | |||