Points
46Points expected by the market
41.21Gap
+4.79Yield
+22.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.09 | −4.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 23 | +3.77 | +41.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 13 | +0.27 | +10.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.68 | +27.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.30 | +30.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +0.29 | +39.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.77 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +3.46 | +58.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −0.02 | −4.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Manchester United · Away14 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.42 | −0.42 |
| M2 | Brighton · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.35 |
| M3 | Everton · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +0.41 |
| M4 | Crystal Palace · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.53 |
| M5 | Liverpool · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.36 |
| M6 | Luton · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −1.87 |
| M7 | Manchester City · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.46 | +0.60 |
| M8 | Aston Villa · Home8 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.53 |
| M9 | Bournemouth · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.32 |
| M10 | Newcastle · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | +2.39 |
| M11 | Sheffield United · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | +0.61 |
| M12 | Tottenham · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.42 |
| M13 | Fulham · Away27 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.22 | +1.20 |
| M14 | Arsenal · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.37 | +0.83 |
| M15 | Burnley · Home5 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.07 |
| M16 | Nottingham Forest · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +1.28 |
| M17 | West Ham · Away17 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.29 |
| M18 | Chelsea · Home24 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.14 |
| M19 | Brentford · Away27 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +4.00 |
| M20 | Everton · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +5.71 |
| M21 | Brighton · Away22 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | +5.90 |
| M22 | Manchester United · Home1 Feb 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.26 | +4.64 |
| M23 | Chelsea · Away4 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.30 | +6.94 |
| M24 | Brentford · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +5.36 |
| M25 | Tottenham · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.29 | +7.64 |
| M26 | Sheffield United · Home25 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +8.49 |
| M27 | Newcastle · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +7.61 |
| M28 | Fulham · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +9.17 |
| M29 | Aston Villa · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.68 | +8.49 |
| M30 | Burnley · Away2 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +8.26 |
| M31 | West Ham · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +6.97 |
| M32 | Nottingham Forest · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | +6.91 |
| M33 | Arsenal · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.41 | +6.50 |
| M34 | Bournemouth · Home24 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +5.19 |
| M35 | Luton · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +6.43 |
| M36 | Manchester City · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.20 | +6.23 |
| M37 | Crystal Palace · Home11 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +5.06 |
| M38 | Liverpool · Away19 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.26 | +4.79 |
| Total | 46 | +4.79 | |||