Points
66Points expected by the market
58.34Gap
+7.66Yield
+9.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 11 | −0.47 | −21.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 25 | +2.64 | +3.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 28 | +10.60 | +94.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −5.11 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 11 | −0.47 | −21.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 18 | +3.13 | +12.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 10 | +4.51 | +109.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.86 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.49 | −14.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 18 | +6.09 | +87.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −4.26 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | West Ham · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.71 |
| M2 | Arsenal · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.85 |
| M3 | Leicester · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.08 |
| M4 | Everton · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.04 | +3.12 |
| M5 | Wolverhampton · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +4.12 |
| M6 | Ipswich · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +3.45 |
| M7 | Manchester United · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +2.89 |
| M8 | Fulham · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +4.61 |
| M9 | Bournemouth · Home26 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +3.77 |
| M10 | Tottenham · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.04 | +2.73 |
| M11 | Liverpool · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | +2.08 |
| M12 | Crystal Palace · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | +1.16 |
| M13 | Chelsea · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +0.31 |
| M14 | Brentford · Home4 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +1.37 |
| M15 | Southampton · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +2.02 |
| M16 | Nottingham Forest · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +0.68 |
| M17 | Manchester City · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +2.52 |
| M18 | Newcastle · Away26 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +1.51 |
| M19 | Brighton · Home30 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | +0.73 |
| M20 | Leicester · Home4 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +1.41 |
| M21 | Everton · Away15 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.85 |
| M22 | Arsenal · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.29 | +3.14 |
| M23 | West Ham · Home26 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | +1.99 |
| M24 | Wolverhampton · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.45 |
| M25 | Ipswich · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | −0.76 |
| M26 | Liverpool · Home19 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | −0.75 |
| M27 | Chelsea · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.88 |
| M28 | Crystal Palace · Away25 Feb 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.30 |
| M29 | Brentford · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.53 |
| M30 | Brighton · Away2 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.31 |
| M31 | Nottingham Forest · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.68 |
| M32 | Southampton · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +5.58 |
| M33 | Newcastle · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +7.18 |
| M34 | Manchester City · Away22 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +6.18 |
| M35 | Fulham · Home3 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +7.38 |
| M36 | Bournemouth · Away10 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +9.04 |
| M37 | Tottenham · Home16 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +9.61 |
| M38 | Manchester United · Away25 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.95 | +7.66 |
| Total | 66 | +7.66 | |||