Points
56Points expected by the market
47.26Gap
+8.74Yield
+3.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 25 | +3.57 | +20.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 22 | +7.29 | +54.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 9 | −2.12 | −46.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −0.03 | −2.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +4.47 | +57.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.15 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.60 | +88.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 8 | +2.82 | +48.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −0.97 | −33.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crystal Palace · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.69 |
| M2 | Liverpool · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.38 | +1.31 |
| M3 | Southampton · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +2.46 |
| M4 | Manchester City · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.33 | +2.13 |
| M5 | Tottenham · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.66 | +1.47 |
| M6 | West Ham · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +0.91 |
| M7 | Wolverhampton · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.25 |
| M8 | Manchester United · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +1.41 |
| M9 | Ipswich · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.03 | +2.44 |
| M10 | Fulham · Away4 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.39 |
| M11 | Bournemouth · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.01 |
| M12 | Everton · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +2.80 |
| M13 | Leicester · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.79 |
| M14 | Aston Villa · Away4 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +2.97 |
| M15 | Newcastle · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.76 | +4.73 |
| M16 | Chelsea · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +4.19 |
| M17 | Nottingham Forest · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | +2.77 |
| M18 | Brighton · Away27 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | +2.97 |
| M19 | Arsenal · Home1 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.70 | +2.26 |
| M20 | Southampton · Away4 Jan 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.66 |
| M21 | Manchester City · Home14 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.23 | +3.89 |
| M22 | Liverpool · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +3.22 |
| M23 | Crystal Palace · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +5.19 |
| M24 | Tottenham · Home2 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +3.51 |
| M25 | West Ham · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +5.25 |
| M26 | Leicester · Away21 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +6.54 |
| M27 | Everton · Home26 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +5.89 |
| M28 | Aston Villa · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | +4.30 |
| M29 | Bournemouth · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +6.40 |
| M30 | Newcastle · Away2 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +5.56 |
| M31 | Chelsea · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | +5.30 |
| M32 | Arsenal · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | +5.52 |
| M33 | Brighton · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.64 | +7.16 |
| M34 | Nottingham Forest · Away1 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +8.95 |
| M35 | Manchester United · Home4 May 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.04 | +9.99 |
| M36 | Ipswich · Away10 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +10.91 |
| M37 | Fulham · Home18 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.67 | +9.24 |
| M38 | Wolverhampton · Away25 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +8.74 |
| Total | 56 | +8.74 | |||